Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Little Rock Trojans vs. Western Illinois Leathernecks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4b147e8b64f69dc46978c016c0a0f2335dcfe4c8280228367cc2a1fb0767c9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Little Rock Trojansof Little Rock Trojans, Western Illinois Leathernecks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a0a…24a9backed Western Illinois Leathernecks | 17c | 10,751$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.04 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Western Illinois Leathernecks | 14c | 3,345$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.49 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Western Illinois Leathernecks | 14c | 1,207$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.56 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Little Rock Trojans | 79c | 878.53$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.56 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Western Illinois Leathernecks | 26c | 780$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Little Rock Trojans | 74c | 517.68$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.39 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Western Illinois Leathernecks | 14c | 322.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Western Illinois Leathernecks | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Little Rock Trojans | 73c | 193.14$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Western Illinois Leathernecks | 19c | 188.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Little Rock Trojans | 75c | 132.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Little Rock Trojans | 73c | 116$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Western Illinois Leathernecks | 12c | 110.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Western Illinois Leathernecks | 25c | 92.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Little Rock Trojans | 73c | 77.48$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Little Rock Trojans | 73c | 75.52$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Little Rock Trojans | 73c | 54.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Western Illinois Leathernecks | 29c | 49.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 208 | 34.6%72 W · 136 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ec…d0f5backed Western Illinois Leathernecks | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Little Rock Trojans | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed Little Rock Trojans | 37c | 31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Little Rock Trojans | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…2b66backed Little Rock Trojans | 58c | 20.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Little Rock Trojans | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…be18backed Little Rock Trojans | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Western Illinois Leathernecks | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Little Rock Trojans vs. Western Illinois Leathernecksthis page
- Little Rock Trojans vs. Western Illinois Leathernecks: O/U 141.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.