Tennis · resolved market
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Storm Hunter vs Camila Osorio
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29d6bd834ca666105f5164b86323d701e79e8990e77ec05cf0b9b39754902782
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Osorioof Hunter, Osorio
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a0a…24a9backed Hunter | 16c | 32,403$5,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,293.54 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Hunter | 7c | 4,980$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.57 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Hunter | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Osorio | 78c | 2,392$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.09 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Hunter | 8c | 1,875$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 151 | 17.9%27 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Osorio | 80c | 340.09$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.02 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Osorio | 80c | 300$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Hunter | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 191 | 29.8%57 W · 134 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Hunter | 31c | 226.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb0…4cd4backed Hunter | 7c | 177$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Osorio | 70c | 166.67$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Hunter | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…783bbacked Hunter | 10c | 135$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Hunter | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eaa…8561backed Hunter | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…8f65backed Osorio | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db6…e1babacked Osorio | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…6b57backed Osorio | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Osorio | 74c | 96.23$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x828c…fb4cbacked Hunter | 18c | 88.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…a380backed Hunter | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99d5…2149backed Hunter | 27c | 67.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 185 | 40%74 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Hunter | 18c | 65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Hunter | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Osorio | 69c | 47.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Osorio | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Osorio | 73c | 21.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Osorio | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.