TailMyPicks

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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ex-Zero Tenacityof ASTRAL, ex-Zero Tenacity
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,119
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,209

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,119 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7a0a…24a9backed ASTRAL30c3,196$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed ASTRAL49c2,174$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.9515141.7%63 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed ex-Zero Tenacity67c2,029$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.6724550.2%123 W · 122 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed ASTRAL40c1,506$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.7969635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked ex-Zero Tenacity47c1,128$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.9884454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed ex-Zero Tenacity50c917.69$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.8584958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed ex-Zero Tenacity51c801.46$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.3387244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x858e…1c3bbacked ex-Zero Tenacity74c795.59$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.285635.7%20 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed ex-Zero Tenacity46c700$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.3426054.2%141 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed ASTRAL54c588.22$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31720838%79 W · 129 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed ASTRAL53c563.02$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.41560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed ex-Zero Tenacity70c517.62$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.151,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed ex-Zero Tenacity52c490$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.323245.3%105 W · 127 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed ex-Zero Tenacity39c424.59$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.694,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity51c411.76$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.925,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ex-Zero Tenacity49c361$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.925,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-Zero Tenacity59c306.4$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.97,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed ASTRAL52c298.08$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15532845.1%148 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed ASTRAL53c292.04$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.783246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed ex-Zero Tenacity53c279.21$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.656,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf9…be26backed ASTRAL76c263.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003253.1%17 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick66cpaid-14.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed ASTRAL11c214.6$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8639239.8%156 W · 236 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40fc…498dbacked ASTRAL53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014441%59 W · 85 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aa7…db93backed ASTRAL54c186.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021867%146 W · 72 L+0.7wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb9f…36dfbacked ASTRAL29c169.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.896953.6%37 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed ASTRAL19c134.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.62,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed ASTRAL49c132.11$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2783543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-Zero Tenacity74c118.01$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.575,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed ASTRAL48c115$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.22722.2%6 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-38%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x16fd…b4d3backed ASTRAL52c104.35$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7129840.3%120 W · 178 L-9.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked ASTRAL48c96.43$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2998052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf740…cf50backed ASTRAL36c92.49$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3313943.9%61 W · 78 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6483…750abacked ASTRAL49c80.6$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.496642.4%28 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked ASTRAL48c75.07$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0370038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0ac…d5febacked ex-Zero Tenacity38c65.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed ASTRAL53c63.4$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.656237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e66…e1b2backed ASTRAL47c55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.072927.6%8 W · 21 L-5.3wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-50.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed ASTRAL38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed ex-Zero Tenacity68c42.1$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2619342%81 W · 112 L-12.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed ASTRAL26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.485851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity50c35.23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.741,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea49…434fbacked ASTRAL47c33.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.715057.3%86 W · 64 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7ba…1349backed ex-Zero Tenacity75c32.75$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.113281.3%26 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick76cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3be7…5cb8backed ASTRAL63c28.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181090%9 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick63cpaid+50.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc410…22ffbacked ASTRAL56c28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.681050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69e4…9bacbacked ex-Zero Tenacity77c25.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9219845.5%90 W · 108 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f6a…a9f8backed ex-Zero Tenacity78c25.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.694348.8%21 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6436…aa37backed ex-Zero Tenacity51c25.63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.563548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed ex-Zero Tenacity51c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.22,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked ASTRAL51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.211450%57 W · 57 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d16…0abbbacked ASTRAL53c18.9$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.027941.8%33 W · 46 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc16…40c9backed ex-Zero Tenacity80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.52352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.