Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Hampton Pirates vs. William & Mary Tribe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a0dd5b93a9bbf000e75e97243cd0aea18d976447a6da3ba2476c3ec61a47a5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- William & Mary Tribeof Hampton Pirates, William & Mary Tribe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hampton Pirates | 0c | 95,796$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.07 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0a…24a9backed Hampton Pirates | 24c | 19,766$4,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,765.21 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked William & Mary Tribe | 77c | 8,308$6,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.26 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked William & Mary Tribe | 77c | 6,321$4,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.12 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Hampton Pirates | 15c | 3,231$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.99 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Hampton Pirates | 17c | 1,415$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.62 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked William & Mary Tribe | 77c | 420$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.18 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Hampton Pirates | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Hampton Pirates | 15c | 292.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Hampton Pirates | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed William & Mary Tribe | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…4a48backed Hampton Pirates | 13c | 116.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Hampton Pirates | 14c | 89.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 225 | 44.9%101 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed William & Mary Tribe | 79c | 70.28$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed William & Mary Tribe | 78c | 28.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed William & Mary Tribe | 79c | 25.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed William & Mary Tribe | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hampton Pirates vs. William & Mary Tribethis page
- Spread: William & Mary Tribe (-11.5)Hampton Pirates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.