Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Akron Zips vs. Ball State Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69c1be8e2e61776d54dda52a43de0b1fc73bb27b153bd4c0fe1ce6e0b9325a64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Akron Zipsof Akron Zips, Ball State Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a0a…24a9backed Ball State Cardinals | 8c | 6,345$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.44 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Ball State Cardinals | 3c | 3,325$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ball State Cardinals | 7c | 1,667$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.35 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Ball State Cardinals | 9c | 1,500$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked Ball State Cardinals | 10c | 1,000$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.49 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Ball State Cardinals | 9c | 996.47$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.81 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Ball State Cardinals | 9c | 976.32$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.87 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca6b…9c23backed Ball State Cardinals | 10c | 790.06$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Ball State Cardinals | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Ball State Cardinals | 9c | 461$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…2d04backed Ball State Cardinals | 10c | 351.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Ball State Cardinals | 14c | 332$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Ball State Cardinals | 15c | 329.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Ball State Cardinals | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba6a…1985backed Ball State Cardinals | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.23per pick | 29cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd7df…27cdbacked Ball State Cardinals | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Ball State Cardinals | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ball State Cardinals | 14c | 265.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Ball State Cardinals | 9c | 232.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34d8…7cbabacked Ball State Cardinals | 10c | 230$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Ball State Cardinals | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f8…4656backed Ball State Cardinals | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Ball State Cardinals | 14c | 178.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee6…e759backed Ball State Cardinals | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde6b…7178backed Ball State Cardinals | 13c | 174.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b8…1d37backed Ball State Cardinals | 9c | 145.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af8…d73fbacked Ball State Cardinals | 12c | 144.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e9…c118backed Ball State Cardinals | 12c | 137.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…5bacbacked Ball State Cardinals | 9c | 119.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ball State Cardinals | 13c | 104.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff2…b6ecbacked Ball State Cardinals | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Ball State Cardinals | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…28a7backed Akron Zips | 78c | 95.28$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f3…1fc1backed Ball State Cardinals | 17c | 90.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Akron Zips vs. Ball State Cardinalsthis page
- Akron Zips vs. Ball State Cardinals: O/U 145.5Under won
- Akron Zips vs. Ball State Cardinals: O/U 146.5Under won
- Akron Zips vs. Ball State Cardinals: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: Akron Zips (-13.5)Ball State Cardinals won
- Spread: Akron Zips (-14.5)Ball State Cardinals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.