Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Akron Zips (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d7b3adb033de8b3fdb86354109d852037b515f49b7fca2a9d07907c9116fd1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ball State Cardinalsof Akron Zips, Ball State Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Ball State Cardinals | 52c | 12,817$6,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,116.07 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Akron Zips | 47c | 7,506$3,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,527.81 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Akron Zips | 53c | 6,500$3,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,444.99 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Ball State Cardinals | 47c | 3,783$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.85 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Akron Zips | 49c | 1,983$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.43 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ball State Cardinals | 47c | 1,598$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.47 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Akron Zips | 49c | 1,313$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.29 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Akron Zips | 49c | 971.68$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.13 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Ball State Cardinals | 47c | 509.96$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.28 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…ddfdbacked Akron Zips | 7c | 343$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Akron Zips | 47c | 337.04$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.41 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Ball State Cardinals | 49c | 291$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.41 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Akron Zips | 51c | 288.46$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.11 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Akron Zips | 47c | 238.9$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.4 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Ball State Cardinals | 47c | 210.91$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Akron Zips | 49c | 189.33$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.77 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Ball State Cardinals | 51c | 148.69$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Ball State Cardinals | 47c | 105.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Akron Zips | 49c | 89.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…e74fbacked Ball State Cardinals | 47c | 83.31$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Akron Zips | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Akron Zips | 54c | 55.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Akron Zips | 49c | 39.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Ball State Cardinals | 47c | 38.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Ball State Cardinals | 47c | 31.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Akron Zips | 54c | 27.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a46…3c10backed Akron Zips | 48c | 20.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Akron Zips (-13.5)this page
- Akron Zips vs. Ball State CardinalsAkron Zips won
- Akron Zips vs. Ball State Cardinals: O/U 145.5Under won
- Akron Zips vs. Ball State Cardinals: O/U 146.5Under won
- Akron Zips vs. Ball State Cardinals: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: Akron Zips (-14.5)Ball State Cardinals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.