Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Akron Zips vs. Ball State Cardinals: O/U 146.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c1e55bf867ec0ba944a3965fe9c5e565599f7ad10ab6c09ac5fd1e8ee8965f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Over | 53c | 9,461$4,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,989.6 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 9,267$4,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,923.68 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 52c | 5,979$3,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,138.54 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 47c | 4,114$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180.32 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad40…a697backed Over | 54c | 2,063$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.23 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 47c | 1,414$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.46 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 52c | 509.56$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.97 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 464.07$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.8 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 59c | 428.32$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.12 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 396.5$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.25 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 308$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.76 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Under | 48c | 297.38$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.64 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 59c | 267.71$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.49 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 53c | 213.05$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.13 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 51c | 167.15$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 48c | 149.56$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 47c | 149.05$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.59 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Over | 54c | 142.76$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.62 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 54c | 128.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Under | 50c | 109.04$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Over | 54c | 104.3$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…5945backed Under | 47c | 103.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Under | 52c | 99.13$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 52c | 95.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 47c | 92.19$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.86 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Over | 54c | 88.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Over | 54c | 78.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed Over | 73c | 62.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 47c | 52.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 59c | 39.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcd…7ab2backed Under | 53c | 30.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 47c | 28.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 50c | 22.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Over | 55c | 21.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Akron Zips vs. Ball State Cardinals: O/U 146.5this page
- Akron Zips vs. Ball State CardinalsAkron Zips won
- Akron Zips vs. Ball State Cardinals: O/U 145.5Under won
- Akron Zips vs. Ball State Cardinals: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: Akron Zips (-13.5)Ball State Cardinals won
- Spread: Akron Zips (-14.5)Ball State Cardinals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.