Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley Wolverines
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c25606fd84d4d4900b9e5c4d0d91e3f4ed8d267b15357d0df3e1cac26b6565f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utah Valley Wolverinesof California Baptist Lancers, Utah Valley Wolverines
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a0a…24a9backed California Baptist Lancers | 15c | 4,606$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 74c | 1,269$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.85 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked California Baptist Lancers | 25c | 859.59$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.46 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked California Baptist Lancers | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed California Baptist Lancers | 27c | 631$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.13 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked California Baptist Lancers | 17c | 608.71$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.31 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked California Baptist Lancers | 22c | 512.81$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.82 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked California Baptist Lancers | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 73c | 485.85$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.78 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 76c | 373.65$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.68 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe86d…c9eebacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 78c | 365.26$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.36 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 73c | 317$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.65 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed California Baptist Lancers | 18c | 316.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.07 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 76c | 301$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.53 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked California Baptist Lancers | 26c | 299.87$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.33 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 77c | 299.69$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.93 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5f…56a0backed California Baptist Lancers | 25c | 282.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 72c | 278.25$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.17 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked California Baptist Lancers | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 78c | 225$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed California Baptist Lancers | 24c | 210$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked California Baptist Lancers | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 79c | 195.57$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 75c | 170.53$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed California Baptist Lancers | 25c | 158.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed California Baptist Lancers | 24c | 132.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 76c | 131.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked California Baptist Lancers | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed California Baptist Lancers | 16c | 97.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 76c | 92$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 74c | 87.27$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed California Baptist Lancers | 24c | 86.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked California Baptist Lancers | 23c | 79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed California Baptist Lancers | 19c | 78.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…1c8fbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 73c | 69.41$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed California Baptist Lancers | 18c | 61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed California Baptist Lancers | 26c | 53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked California Baptist Lancers | 23c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5904…940fbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 78c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eac…3dc7backed California Baptist Lancers | 27c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…fd8fbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 73c | 40.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 72c | 30.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x049e…55b1backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 80c | 24.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley Wolverinesthis page
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley Wolverines: O/U 141.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.