TailMyPicks
Market

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Saint Louis Billikens vs. Loyola Chicago Ramblers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Saint Louis Billikensof Saint Louis Billikens, Loyola Chicago Ramblers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$123,532
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,689

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,532 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers5c14,024$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.131,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers5c10,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers6c5,974$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.262,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0a…24a9backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers5c4,157$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004513.3%6 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-38.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers5c3,281$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.0637441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers5c2,325$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.542,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8570…772ebacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers4c2,210$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers4c2,040$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.221,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9e5…eb6abacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers6c1,508$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9015733.1%52 W · 105 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005731.6%18 W · 39 L-7.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-44%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bc3…d183backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers5c999.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-41.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers5c838.83$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1337947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers4c732.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.71,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers5c646.66$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9981453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0fbe…993abacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers4c599.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers6c580.37$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8220834.6%72 W · 136 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers4c476.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014354.5%78 W · 65 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers9c469$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0125246.4%117 W · 135 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers9c409$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.449747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers9c387$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2714643.2%63 W · 83 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers3c383.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.79119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-50.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers6c332.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.082,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6940…127cbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers6c324.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.51520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers4c307.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.733,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers6c304$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2460548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers6c248.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9114151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6aa…8a15backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers5c240$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1250%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0582…90a7backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers6c199.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…e14dbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers10c171.35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5447…d5f8backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers6c170$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2666…e891backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad13…d3abbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers10c111.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120234.2%69 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.