Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-18.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f59b55fdc7ebd62b9870fc54a1cffe6783fe26372d278379da4417efc827ce3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saint Louis Billikensof Saint Louis Billikens, Loyola Chicago Ramblers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 9,725$4,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,038.58 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 52c | 9,644$5,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,031.15 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.9 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Saint Louis Billikens | 47c | 3,975$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.09 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Saint Louis Billikens | 46c | 2,664$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.22 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 52c | 2,207$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.88 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 51c | 1,975$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.65 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.99 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad40…a697backed Saint Louis Billikens | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 949.4$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.69 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 46c | 906.48$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.98 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…d504backed Saint Louis Billikens | 54c | 900$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…9f55backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 56c | 711$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Saint Louis Billikens | 40c | 670$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 51c | 647.08$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.87 | 182 | 45.1%82 W · 100 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 53c | 544.09$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.32 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 52c | 504.35$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.9 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Saint Louis Billikens | 46c | 462.54$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 60c | 415.47$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.28 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 60c | 415.47$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.28 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 48c | 398.08$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.08 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 250.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.11 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Saint Louis Billikens | 46c | 210.16$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.6 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Saint Louis Billikens | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88e…08f3backed Saint Louis Billikens | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 53c | 190.4$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.91 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Saint Louis Billikens | 45c | 186.84$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.76 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Saint Louis Billikens | 49c | 122.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.42 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Saint Louis Billikens | 47c | 99.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 51c | 80.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 47c | 74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 52c | 63.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Saint Louis Billikens | 40c | 60.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Saint Louis Billikens | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 49c | 58.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Saint Louis Billikens | 55c | 54.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Saint Louis Billikens | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 52c | 49.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 54c | 46.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Saint Louis Billikens | 49c | 44.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8650…58fdbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 44.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Saint Louis Billikens | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6940…127cbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 51c | 37.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…8ad7backed Saint Louis Billikens | 54c | 35.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 53c | 34.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Saint Louis Billikens | 45c | 33.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…b4d0backed Saint Louis Billikens | 50c | 30.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Saint Louis Billikens | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f3…12ffbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Saint Louis Billikens | 48c | 22.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x230b…1e27backed Saint Louis Billikens | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ce…8945backed Saint Louis Billikens | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5de…a312backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers | 75c | 17.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-18.5)this page
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. Loyola Chicago RamblersSaint Louis Billikens won
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. Loyola Chicago Ramblers: O/U 155.5Under won
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-17.5)Saint Louis Billikens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.