Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Loyola Chicago Ramblers: O/U 155.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4a1076a0fa065432fdb600144a31626c4591316390bbff905de43ca76766cbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 50c | 9,347$4,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,673.43 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 50c | 7,985$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,985.29 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 4,151$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.2 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 3,025$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.11 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 52c | 2,400$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.82 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 50c | 2,040$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 50c | 2,019$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.88 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 52c | 1,001$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.29 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Over | 45c | 719.99$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 60c | 701.06$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.84 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Under | 50c | 309.6$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.8 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9101…78ddbacked Under | 50c | 292$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +170.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…9f55backed Over | 43c | 266.43$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 49c | 249.92$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.62 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Under | 49c | 220$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 48c | 185$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…a93cbacked Over | 61c | 103.39$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.69 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…f0ccbacked Under | 49c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4387…2b3dbacked Under | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Over | 50c | 70.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed Under | 55c | 69.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Over | 49c | 64.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Under | 51c | 60.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 66c | 49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…8975backed Over | 52c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 39.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6940…127cbacked Under | 50c | 35.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3ae9backed Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b2…dd6dbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 53c | 28.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 50c | 27.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5225…797dbacked Under | 51c | 24.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d9…d332backed Under | 50c | 23.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 23.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 53c | 19.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 18.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. Loyola Chicago Ramblers: O/U 155.5this page
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. Loyola Chicago RamblersSaint Louis Billikens won
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-17.5)Saint Louis Billikens won
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-18.5)Saint Louis Billikens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.