Tennis · resolved market
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Tereza Valentova vs Arina Rodionova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc56f04c866b5a43eb803e87898fca9ae8fac0f78a35ce36d6d6bba5bba9e6fc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valentovaof Valentova, Rodionova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a0a…24a9backed Rodionova | 24c | 26,371$6,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,455.5 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Valentova | 76c | 15,730$11,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,786.96 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Rodionova | 18c | 6,537$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.43 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Rodionova | 29c | 6,151$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.92 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed Rodionova | 16c | 5,981$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.97 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Rodionova | 17c | 3,931$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.06 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Rodionova | 7c | 3,288$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 151 | 17.9%27 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Valentova | 79c | 2,469$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.94 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Rodionova | 15c | 2,060$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.17 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Rodionova | 13c | 1,924$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Rodionova | 25c | 1,881$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.68 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rodionova | 16c | 1,353$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.68 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Valentova | 76c | 1,121$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.49 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Rodionova | 14c | 1,112$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Rodionova | 6c | 1,068$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1531…f303backed Rodionova | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…0c19backed Rodionova | 13c | 824.95$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Rodionova | 8c | 643.49$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Valentova | 77c | 587.8$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.62 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39e…2a75backed Rodionova | 11c | 573.34$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Rodionova | 18c | 551.2$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f2…124bbacked Rodionova | 12c | 544.22$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Rodionova | 37c | 533.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…a45bbacked Valentova | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Rodionova | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 191 | 29.8%57 W · 134 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4692…0feebacked Rodionova | 36c | 399.98$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.79 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Rodionova | 31c | 356$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.67 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Valentova | 64c | 337$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.99 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Rodionova | 11c | 328.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Rodionova | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.31 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Valentova | 77c | 299.98$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…b46abacked Valentova | 49c | 284.62$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.62 | 237 | 35%83 W · 154 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Rodionova | 37c | 268.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab9…5b82backed Rodionova | 49c | 251.44$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.99 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf864…c210backed Valentova | 70c | 234.41$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Rodionova | 7c | 219.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rodionova | 13c | 202.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa913…cd20backed Rodionova | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…2208backed Rodionova | 11c | 142.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Valentova | 78c | 111.8$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Valentova | 74c | 94.88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Valentova | 66c | 88.64$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Valentova | 78c | 88.01$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…3896backed Valentova | 59c | 56.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Valentova | 78c | 55.32$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Valentova | 73c | 46.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Valentova | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edc…55ecbacked Valentova | 78c | 39.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3422…cd99backed Valentova | 75c | 39.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Valentova | 79c | 30.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 117 | 79.5%93 W · 24 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…7f42backed Valentova | 66c | 30.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +132.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Valentova | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…014abacked Valentova | 66c | 16.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Tereza Valentova vs Arina Rodionovathis page
- Valentova vs. Rodionova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.