CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb6c6c9fc62a67f907303ac42212c77e3ef7f95630089c4dcd6d24ea3f7469de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof Astralis, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $742,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $854,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $742,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 535 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked NRG | 37c | 128,521$47,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,968.01 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Astralis | 63c | 60,000$37,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,799.99 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Astralis | 63c | 43,488$27,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,397.62 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbea4…2effbacked Astralis | 1c | 24,555$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.55 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed Astralis | 62c | 22,106$13,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,784.7 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Astralis | 63c | 21,592$13,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,549.52 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked NRG | 41c | 18,426$7,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,954.81 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked NRG | 49c | 16,556$8,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,460.8 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Astralis | 63c | 15,793$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fa…77b5backed NRG | 38c | 13,520$5,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,448.91 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -9.6wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a7…6fa3backed Astralis | 59c | 13,417$7,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,900.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked NRG | 42c | 13,314$5,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,722.2 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked NRG | 38c | 13,158$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,157.89 | 136 | 33.1%45 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked NRG | 42c | 13,039$5,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,625.29 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed NRG | 54c | 11,456$6,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,272.43 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed NRG | 37c | 11,109$4,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,982.6 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked NRG | 60c | 10,503$6,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,217.37 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed NRG | 37c | 10,501$3,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,615.52 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Astralis | 64c | 10,164$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c5…457fbacked Astralis | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.97 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis | 39c | 9,733$3,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,827.02 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked NRG | 36c | 9,433$3,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,037.29 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Astralis | 62c | 9,109$5,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,625.76 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Astralis | 58c | 8,929$5,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,190.3 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…c3a9backed Astralis | 63c | 8,748$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed NRG | 51c | 8,598$4,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,209.69 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed NRG | 36c | 8,067$2,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,187.43 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked Astralis | 63c | 8,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Astralis | 63c | 7,920$4,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,989.6 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf69…9076backed Astralis | 62c | 7,000$4,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,360 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis | 49c | 6,983$3,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,427.31 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Astralis | 63c | 6,494$4,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,091.08 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked NRG | 38c | 6,037$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750.91 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked NRG | 73c | 5,744$4,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.62 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…86bebacked Astralis | 63c | 5,073$3,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,175.41 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Astralis | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.99 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa340…409bbacked NRG | 37c | 4,893$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,082.37 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked NRG | 37c | 4,800$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed NRG | 48c | 4,566$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,367.8 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ab…0fe6backed NRG | 36c | 4,311$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,751.26 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…9aabbacked Astralis | 63c | 4,115$2,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592.37 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Astralis | 63c | 3,562$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.99 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed NRG | 59c | 3,401$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.7 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed Astralis | 47c | 3,370$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.42 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Astralis | 42c | 3,349$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.61 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Astralis | 52c | 3,343$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.31 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked NRG | 50c | 3,059$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.5 | 334 | 57.8%193 W · 141 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed NRG | 52c | 2,925$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.54 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed NRG | 53c | 2,924$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.19 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed NRG | 39c | 2,857$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.63 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked NRG | 36c | 2,800$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.91 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…1c37backed Astralis | 54c | 2,650$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked NRG | 37c | 2,630$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.25 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked NRG | 37c | 2,568$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.56 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…cc46backed Astralis | 59c | 2,551$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed NRG | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Astralis | 61c | 2,500$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.12 | 105 | 38.1%40 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed NRG | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.31 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Astralis | 63c | 2,400$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Astralis | 30c | 2,391$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.82 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed NRG | 40c | 2,341$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.05 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed NRG | 38c | 2,195$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.38 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…24f9backed NRG | 37c | 2,115$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Astralis | 56c | 2,113$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Astralis | 59c | 2,085$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.6 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Astralis | 50c | 2,084$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.7 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Astralis | 58c | 2,010$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…a127backed Astralis | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Astralis | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed NRG | 37c | 2,000$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.48 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Astralis | 43c | 1,939$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.46 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed NRG | 36c | 1,849$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.5 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6603…959ebacked NRG | 60c | 1,824$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Astralis | 48c | 1,818$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed NRG | 64c | 1,683$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.98 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked NRG | 47c | 1,664$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.47 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fec…728ebacked NRG | 38c | 1,608$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7f…105bbacked Astralis | 63c | 1,607$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7f…472ebacked NRG | 37c | 1,605$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Astralis | 63c | 1,588$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.7 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b11…96d8backed NRG | 38c | 1,586$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Astralis | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed NRG | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Astralis | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed NRG | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…40adbacked Astralis | 62c | 1,494$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Astralis | 53c | 1,484$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.7 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…4d5bbacked Astralis | 15c | 1,467$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.89 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Astralis | 21c | 1,400$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.9 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked Astralis | 63c | 1,382$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.79 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0a…24a9backed Astralis | 40c | 1,360$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…204cbacked NRG | 37c | 1,320$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed NRG | 37c | 1,310$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.3 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed NRG | 60c | 1,298$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.97 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…2aaebacked Astralis | 64c | 1,275$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Astralis | 51c | 1,254$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.65 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Astralis | 61c | 1,224$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.01 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed NRG | 58c | 1,201$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.2 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Astralis | 50c | 1,164$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Astralis | 56c | 1,117$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.98 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inthis page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.