CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa58ce8cdf7cbe6ea48d1e808e55ac08d687561fd9ebdb289daa015ba58f84082
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof Astralis, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked NRG | 55c | 8,645$4,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,856.97 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis | 43c | 6,382$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730.41 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Astralis | 1c | 1,953$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked NRG | 58c | 1,826$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.81 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed Astralis | 49c | 1,769$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.42 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked NRG | 33c | 1,603$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.02 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed NRG | 54c | 1,255$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.67 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Astralis | 45c | 1,200$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.81 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed NRG | 44c | 1,100$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.75 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Astralis | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis | 46c | 945.81$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.04 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Astralis | 3c | 834.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Astralis | 47c | 657.88$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.14 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Astralis | 55c | 627.76$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.67 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Astralis | 46c | 602.02$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.15 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed NRG | 50c | 586$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5a…c177backed Astralis | 48c | 579.99$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…b09ebacked NRG | 46c | 505.25$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.85 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Astralis | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…2aaebacked Astralis | 68c | 497.06$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed NRG | 54c | 484.86$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.07 | 157 | 38.2%60 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis | 13c | 445.11$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.11 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…0915backed NRG | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Astralis | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Astralis | 63c | 318.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked NRG | 50c | 292$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.46 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…539abacked Astralis | 69c | 251.01$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked NRG | 58c | 207.7$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.7 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b2…3d80backed Astralis | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Astralis | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Astralis | 54c | 155.91$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.58 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8aa…0ae3backed Astralis | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 72.8%228 W · 85 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed NRG | 43c | 126$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed NRG | 37c | 116.62$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.54 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed NRG | 51c | 105.78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.32 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed NRG | 57c | 100.19$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked NRG | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948d…1a11backed NRG | 35c | 99.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Astralis | 52c | 97.35$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked NRG | 40c | 96.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.61 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed NRG | 41c | 95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.77 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…8ce8backed NRG | 53c | 91.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.63 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed NRG | 59c | 89.58$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aca…b6dcbacked NRG | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +45%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd46…8a23backed NRG | 57c | 69.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 39cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Astralis | 53c | 65.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed Astralis | 57c | 50.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…04d0backed Astralis | 77c | 50.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Astralis | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5498…126fbacked Astralis | 39c | 45.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Astralis | 53c | 45.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Astralis | 48c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed Astralis | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Astralis | 49c | 43.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 135 | 37.8%51 W · 84 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked NRG | 46c | 42.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed Astralis | 56c | 35.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Astralis | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea4…2effbacked NRG | 40c | 35.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed NRG | 46c | 33.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 254 | 16.9%43 W · 211 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Astralis | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Astralis | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed NRG | 39c | 27.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Astralis | 57c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…1fdebacked NRG | 45c | 26.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.1wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Astralis | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed NRG | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Astralis | 54c | 22.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ae…3550backed NRG | 58c | 20.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe6…b510backed Astralis | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Astralis | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Astralis | 57c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-InNRG won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.