Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Yale Bulldogs vs. Dartmouth Big Green
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5dbfa67dba0f76d5d54828a786c9b4b7d0e81776f8138db851b086db0964297
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yale Bulldogsof Yale Bulldogs, Dartmouth Big Green
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a0a…24a9backed Dartmouth Big Green | 22c | 13,024$2,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,842.18 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yale Bulldogs | 79c | 5,784$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.34 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 17c | 4,077$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yale Bulldogs | 78c | 2,663$2,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.74 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Dartmouth Big Green | 16c | 1,489$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.29 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Yale Bulldogs | 76c | 1,300$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.5 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Dartmouth Big Green | 23c | 984.74$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.12 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…83e0backed Dartmouth Big Green | 19c | 935$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yale Bulldogs | 78c | 848.98$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.47 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 19c | 766$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.34 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 10c | 614.15$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 18c | 555.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ed…de73backed Dartmouth Big Green | 18c | 449.97$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…eb6abacked Dartmouth Big Green | 19c | 432.26$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb0…4cd4backed Dartmouth Big Green | 18c | 350$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Dartmouth Big Green | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Dartmouth Big Green | 20c | 303$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Dartmouth Big Green | 20c | 295$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Dartmouth Big Green | 19c | 247.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 19c | 202.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce0…ff19backed Dartmouth Big Green | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1f…039dbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Dartmouth Big Green | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d8…d52ebacked Dartmouth Big Green | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Dartmouth Big Green | 18c | 195.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 19c | 180.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 208 | 34.6%72 W · 136 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 10c | 167.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Dartmouth Big Green | 18c | 165.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yale Bulldogs | 80c | 162.21$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Dartmouth Big Green | 15c | 138$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25f…32c9backed Dartmouth Big Green | 13c | 133.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Dartmouth Big Green | 18c | 124.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Dartmouth Big Green | 11c | 123.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Dartmouth Big Green | 18c | 111.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Dartmouth Big Green | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Yale Bulldogs | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Dartmouth Big Green | 15c | 89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 14c | 86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Dartmouth Big Green | 18c | 84.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef56…e4c5backed Dartmouth Big Green | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Dartmouth Big Green | 19c | 68.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Dartmouth Big Green | 18c | 61.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yale Bulldogs | 76c | 49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Dartmouth Big Green | 22c | 46.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yale Bulldogs | 77c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc513…0918backed Yale Bulldogs | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Yale Bulldogs | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Yale Bulldogs | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yale Bulldogs vs. Dartmouth Big Greenthis page
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-9.5)Yale Bulldogs won
- Yale Bulldogs vs. Dartmouth Big Green: O/U 151.5Over won
- Yale Bulldogs vs. Dartmouth Big Green: O/U 152.5Over won
- Yale Bulldogs vs. Dartmouth Big Green: O/U 153.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.