Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Yale Bulldogs vs. Dartmouth Big Green: O/U 152.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8040d57f6a3c0a1a92fb6f72f04d1cfd2c90ed49c8014650078437e4df0fd15e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3383…a555backed Under | 1c | 2,006$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154d…a748backed Under | 1c | 1,750$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 52c | 1,419$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.61 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 48c | 1,137$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.69 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 47c | 825.8$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.67 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 644.37$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.01 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Over | 47c | 389.13$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.24 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Over | 47c | 289.55$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.46 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 53c | 149.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf926…fb21backed Over | 47c | 130$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Under | 55c | 125.45$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 103.59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.34 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 57c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 46c | 62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Under | 55c | 54.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…5e13backed Over | 65c | 48.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 31c | 37.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Over | 47c | 36.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Under | 55c | 36.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 41c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…254dbacked Under | 62c | 19.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yale Bulldogs vs. Dartmouth Big Green: O/U 152.5this page
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-9.5)Yale Bulldogs won
- Yale Bulldogs vs. Dartmouth Big GreenYale Bulldogs won
- Yale Bulldogs vs. Dartmouth Big Green: O/U 151.5Over won
- Yale Bulldogs vs. Dartmouth Big Green: O/U 153.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.