Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5be15c444091903fb7eb4b70c75b7d6dd90a9ab860fad9893a7f79baaa7f9b9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yale Bulldogsof Yale Bulldogs, Dartmouth Big Green
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Yale Bulldogs | 53c | 57,018$30,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,798.53 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Dartmouth Big Green | 47c | 56,284$26,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,453.37 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…c0b8backed Yale Bulldogs | 52c | 7,743$4,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,716.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yale Bulldogs | 52c | 4,971$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,361.79 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 48c | 4,833$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 48c | 4,198$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Dartmouth Big Green | 47c | 2,345$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.99 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yale Bulldogs | 53c | 1,357$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.79 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 47c | 882.24$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.82 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 49c | 615.26$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Yale Bulldogs | 53c | 506.33$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.14 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Dartmouth Big Green | 46c | 505.5$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.53 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1622…19bcbacked Yale Bulldogs | 54c | 476.02$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Dartmouth Big Green | 44c | 344.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Dartmouth Big Green | 14c | 344.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…3896backed Yale Bulldogs | 60c | 267.4$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…67bfbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 47c | 211.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Dartmouth Big Green | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yale Bulldogs | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Dartmouth Big Green | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Dartmouth Big Green | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Yale Bulldogs | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yale Bulldogs | 56c | 109.46$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.76 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Dartmouth Big Green | 49c | 105$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Dartmouth Big Green | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Dartmouth Big Green | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Dartmouth Big Green | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Dartmouth Big Green | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Yale Bulldogs | 52c | 98.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Dartmouth Big Green | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yale Bulldogs | 56c | 92.01$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Yale Bulldogs | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Yale Bulldogs | 54c | 74.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Yale Bulldogs | 53c | 69.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Yale Bulldogs | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Dartmouth Big Green | 48c | 56.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yale Bulldogs | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Dartmouth Big Green | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…c23dbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 49c | 47.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f8b4backed Dartmouth Big Green | 48c | 41.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yale Bulldogs | 58c | 38.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Dartmouth Big Green | 60c | 33.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Yale Bulldogs | 44c | 28.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 120 | 34.2%41 W · 79 L | -13.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Dartmouth Big Green | 49c | 26.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Yale Bulldogs | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-9.5)this page
- Yale Bulldogs vs. Dartmouth Big GreenYale Bulldogs won
- Yale Bulldogs vs. Dartmouth Big Green: O/U 151.5Over won
- Yale Bulldogs vs. Dartmouth Big Green: O/U 152.5Over won
- Yale Bulldogs vs. Dartmouth Big Green: O/U 153.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.