Fifa International · resolved market
Albania vs. Israel: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dc92133a579e41aac9e3518444f1df66813dae9159c4f9843b70affa164b28d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 23c | 8,176$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.57 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 4,250$3,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.41 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 66c | 2,321$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.27 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa902…d159backed Yes | 55c | 1,823$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 53c | 1,800$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 77c | 1,712$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.49 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 1,510$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.3 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 47c | 986.1$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.63 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb25c…6f77backed Yes | 54c | 844.49$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 47c | 717$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.85 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 484.83$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.07 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 77c | 248.33$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 47c | 247.54$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.8 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 46c | 205.67$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.06 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef3e…9e72backed No | 46c | 199.97$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.98 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked No | 47c | 199.91$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.95 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x739a…f78abacked No | 47c | 162.45$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 46c | 161.67$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 46c | 155.47$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.95 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 47c | 153.63$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.42 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x055f…b363backed Yes | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…4f34backed No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 46c | 90.08$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked No | 48c | 62.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 271 | 54.6%148 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 54c | 59.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 26c | 58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2897…0004backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3297…43cdbacked Yes | 53c | 54.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…ff86backed Yes | 53c | 54.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e1…d473backed Yes | 53c | 52.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed No | 48c | 52.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 30c | 50.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…24aebacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed No | 78c | 33.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…dfe9backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 79c | 25.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 47c | 24.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd1…6301backed Yes | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 47c | 23.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Yes | 52c | 22.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…9a30backed Yes | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 281 | 27.8%78 W · 203 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 54c | 18.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked No | 79c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 429 | 52%223 W · 206 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 76c | 17.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked No | 77c | 15.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 91 | 74.7%68 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked No | 79c | 12.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.71 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Albania vs. Israel: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Albania vs. Israel: O/U 0.5Over won
- Albania vs. Israel: O/U 1.5Under won
- Albania vs. Israel: O/U 2.5Under won
- Albania vs. Israel: O/U 3.5Under won
- Albania vs. Israel: O/U 4.5Under won
- Albania vs. Israel: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Albania (-1.5)Israel won
- Spread: Albania (-2.5)Israel won
- Spread: Israel (-1.5)Albania won
- Spread: Israel (-2.5)Albania won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.