Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Albania (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9171f73beefd35726189d3ffe865617f57bc48b74ffd13df1197557e308005d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Israelof Albania, Israel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Albania | 5c | 1,214$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.69 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c8…2f91backed Albania | 5c | 1,043$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b58…18adbacked Albania | 5c | 1,018$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2637…c6b3backed Albania | 5c | 1,010$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea1…122cbacked Albania | 5c | 1,009$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9c…c369backed Albania | 5c | 1,008$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4f…78eebacked Albania | 5c | 1,005$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9590…a4d8backed Albania | 5c | 996$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…7b7abacked Albania | 6c | 995$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca7…ef13backed Albania | 5c | 986$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ed…2082backed Albania | 5c | 981$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ecd…1b1bbacked Albania | 5c | 979$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8727…1409backed Albania | 6c | 971$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ff…e003backed Albania | 5c | 970$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…3f2bbacked Albania | 5c | 968$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…529cbacked Albania | 6c | 966.71$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…715ebacked Albania | 6c | 954.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x393e…c590backed Albania | 6c | 947.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588e…bfcfbacked Albania | 5c | 947$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef5…c8debacked Albania | 5c | 928$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d77…ff7ebacked Albania | 6c | 910$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…41bbbacked Albania | 6c | 906$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084c…38ebbacked Albania | 6c | 895$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4668…80c6backed Albania | 6c | 893$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…48d0backed Albania | 5c | 885$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6da…63ecbacked Albania | 6c | 880$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…c94abacked Albania | 6c | 876.11$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Albania | 3c | 865.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…2b8bbacked Albania | 5c | 840$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…2f53backed Albania | 5c | 762.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…8988backed Albania | 5c | 760.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…1fb5backed Albania | 6c | 753.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Albania (-2.5)this page
- Albania vs. Israel: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Albania vs. Israel: O/U 0.5Over won
- Albania vs. Israel: O/U 1.5Under won
- Albania vs. Israel: O/U 2.5Under won
- Albania vs. Israel: O/U 3.5Under won
- Albania vs. Israel: O/U 4.5Under won
- Albania vs. Israel: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Albania (-1.5)Israel won
- Spread: Israel (-1.5)Albania won
- Spread: Israel (-2.5)Albania won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.