Fifa International · resolved market
Albania vs. Israel: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4b919dd50fae07301ca55df776f337df3288947ebf3f5273a49709b155ea12d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 2c | 6,130$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.39 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 46c | 5,437$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.32 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 3c | 2,172$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.19 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 12c | 800$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 798.96$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.38 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0e…ddb2backed Over | 20c | 686.1$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Under | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 54c | 597.55$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.45 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 46c | 573.1$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.63 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 55c | 563.81$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.37 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 56c | 508.54$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.8 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 54c | 443.86$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.18 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over | 45c | 377.78$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 242 | 42.6%103 W · 139 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 12c | 332.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 47c | 317.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.77 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 39c | 299.32$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.95 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 5c | 277.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 57c | 254.91$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.61 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 57c | 253.83$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.53 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 55c | 252.44$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.68 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 54c | 233.48$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.56 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Under | 54c | 231.48$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.48 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 46c | 216$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 246 | 49.2%121 W · 125 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 54c | 210$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.39 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced4…5055backed Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 24.7%19 W · 58 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…29a3backed Over | 43c | 194.65$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Under | 56c | 179.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.35 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 54c | 132.77$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.55 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 46c | 114$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Under | 57c | 107.06$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…0404backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 33c | 88.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 53c | 88.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 54c | 83.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.23 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Under | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe21c…3fd3backed Over | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 32c | 75.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 46c | 74.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Under | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Under | 54c | 65.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 45c | 64.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 384 | 39.8%153 W · 231 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2897…0004backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 46c | 57.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…bdcabacked Under | 57c | 52.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Over | 45c | 51.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 333 | 45.3%151 W · 182 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 54c | 49.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 53c | 49.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 40c | 48.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Under | 62c | 45.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…24aebacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 58c | 38.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 45c | 35.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 59c | 34.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 55c | 32.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…7a96backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…10d5backed Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 45c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 54c | 28.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…760ebacked Under | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…26bcbacked Under | 60c | 24.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 54c | 22.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd88…2871backed Under | 56c | 20.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 55c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Albania vs. Israel: O/U 2.5this page
- Albania vs. Israel: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Albania vs. Israel: O/U 0.5Over won
- Albania vs. Israel: O/U 1.5Under won
- Albania vs. Israel: O/U 3.5Under won
- Albania vs. Israel: O/U 4.5Under won
- Albania vs. Israel: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Albania (-1.5)Israel won
- Spread: Albania (-2.5)Israel won
- Spread: Israel (-1.5)Albania won
- Spread: Israel (-2.5)Albania won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.