Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Israel (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98c9f0d3373aa2c90b2df294632ceb7e2333bf4e20076c3c38f57e386c0108bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Albaniaof Israel, Albania
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b45…45f4backed Israel | 5c | 1,993$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Israel | 4c | 1,053$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3324…b1c9backed Israel | 5c | 1,041$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa783…30d1backed Israel | 5c | 1,017$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…9f6abacked Israel | 5c | 1,001$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff69…26e8backed Israel | 5c | 899.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0062…8660backed Israel | 4c | 891.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…aba2backed Israel | 5c | 876$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4f…07a6backed Israel | 4c | 866$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd6…c70dbacked Israel | 4c | 865$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…1b1abacked Israel | 5c | 857.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6585…01b5backed Israel | 3c | 830$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…9095backed Israel | 4c | 829$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc715…d65fbacked Israel | 3c | 823$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb446…77d9backed Israel | 4c | 810$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x965c…112ebacked Israel | 5c | 694$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d6…5c16backed Israel | 5c | 690$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…1e65backed Israel | 5c | 686$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…6f57backed Israel | 4c | 675.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30be…9c47backed Israel | 4c | 673$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89af…8077backed Israel | 5c | 668$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x547c…33b9backed Israel | 4c | 650$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x181a…ab23backed Israel | 4c | 643$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5394…3041backed Israel | 5c | 640$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…06e7backed Israel | 4c | 625$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6d…22e9backed Israel | 5c | 469.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8b…1484backed Israel | 5c | 455.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…8fcebacked Israel | 5c | 428$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…3056backed Israel | 5c | 418$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…3a00backed Israel | 5c | 415$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x694b…6231backed Israel | 5c | 411$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd275…8ecdbacked Israel | 5c | 407$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bc…e066backed Israel | 5c | 405.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8783…fc1abacked Israel | 5c | 404.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +210.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…bf02backed Israel | 5c | 404$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Israel (-2.5)this page
- Albania vs. Israel: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Albania vs. Israel: O/U 0.5Over won
- Albania vs. Israel: O/U 1.5Under won
- Albania vs. Israel: O/U 2.5Under won
- Albania vs. Israel: O/U 3.5Under won
- Albania vs. Israel: O/U 4.5Under won
- Albania vs. Israel: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Albania (-1.5)Israel won
- Spread: Albania (-2.5)Israel won
- Spread: Israel (-1.5)Albania won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.