Albania vs. Israel: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x810c8f44e1ee3aa72cd06337d17ac09a395a788a94b01f4976d3869c74c5bb05

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $30,371
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $31,182

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,371 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x397d…32a2backed Under	28c	7,322$2,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,271.78	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.6wins	+0.78per pick	22cpaid	+393%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under	38c	5,546$2,085 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,460.92	121	46.3%56 W · 65 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48dd…1f77backed Over	72c	4,059$2,922 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,922.16	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	60cpaid	+81.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	51c	3,746$1,925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,925.17	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9c…addfbacked Over	72c	3,273$2,357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,356.81	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.4wins	-0.72per pick	72cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over	24c	2,225$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530	454	28%127 W · 327 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	79c	1,905$1,498 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$406.67	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Under	29c	1,703$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,202.77	148	29.7%44 W · 104 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	57c	1,689$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960.28	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	34c	892.92$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.59	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1958…9975backed Over	3c	481.91$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.11	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.27per pick	44cpaid	-71.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa902…d159backed Over	73c	410.96$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	-7.3wins	-0.15per pick	60cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	74c	395.64$293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.91	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over	35c	300$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	331	20.8%69 W · 262 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over	43c	300$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over	52c	285.76$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.54	242	42.6%103 W · 139 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under	74c	270.44$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.44	561	51%286 W · 275 L	+15.4wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over	59c	268.09$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.02	132	53%70 W · 62 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f8e…0404backed Over	41c	202.86$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	36cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over	71c	200$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142	1,005	44.3%445 W · 560 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over	70c	179.58$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.69	184	35.3%65 W · 119 L	-8.8wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	42c	160$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.2	504	50.2%253 W · 251 L	+13.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over	70c	156.47$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.53	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over	72c	149.5$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.64	418	57.9%242 W · 176 L	+14.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under	70c	142.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.86	282	29.4%83 W · 199 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-38%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	57c	141.96$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.43	199	46.7%93 W · 106 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	28c	141.37$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.8	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Over	72c	140$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.8	156	54.5%85 W · 71 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under	27c	138.91$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.4	413	44.1%182 W · 231 L	-16.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4912…c24ebacked Under	73c	136.99$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.99	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	57cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Under	76c	131.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.58	224	66.1%148 W · 76 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Over	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	283	26.1%74 W · 209 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x055a…12ddbacked Over	41c	121.95$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.7wins	-0.18per pick	45cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Over	50c	120$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	55	16.4%9 W · 46 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over	21c	118.74$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	157	22.3%35 W · 122 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	30c	116.2$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.34	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	27c	106.3$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.63	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under	28c	100$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72	315	53%167 W · 148 L	+9.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked Over	68c	99.99$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.99	66	71.2%47 W · 19 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	69cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	57c	94.06$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.78	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over	40c	91.26$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.22	239	40.6%97 W · 142 L	-9.1wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4749…321dbacked Over	55c	90.39$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.37per pick	62cpaid	-68.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed Over	39c	89.74$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	151	56.3%85 W · 66 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Over	63c	82$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.66	86	51.2%44 W · 42 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	48c	80$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.6	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over	44c	68.52$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	152	47.4%72 W · 80 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over	71c	66.81$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.1	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over	71c	60$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.6	397	46.3%184 W · 213 L	-28.9wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b53…95c4backed Over	35c	59.43$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over	49c	57.19$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.74	254	55.9%142 W · 112 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over	43c	51.85$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.13	300	54%162 W · 138 L	+17.1wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	27c	50$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.5	848	44.3%376 W · 472 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33fc…dc88backed Under	44c	49.59$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.77	70	50%35 W · 35 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+16%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7097…811cbacked Over	42c	46.59$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.49	113	64.6%73 W · 40 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Under	68c	45$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.25	122	52.5%64 W · 58 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-19%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over	71c	44.99$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.95	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over	35c	42.86$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	165	47.9%79 W · 86 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over	47c	42.72$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63f5…09ddbacked Over	35c	42$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	76c	40$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4fe9…33fbbacked Over	72c	35.71$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.71	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	71cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over	72c	35.71$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.71	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over	64c	35.6$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.78	631	51.5%325 W · 306 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb676…2dbbbacked Over	57c	35.1$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-3.2wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x018a…5e65backed Over	73c	34.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	84	67.9%57 W · 27 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	71cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over	50c	31.54$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.77	465	25.4%118 W · 347 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Over	64c	31.25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.03	71	63.4%45 W · 26 L	+5.4wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over	58c	30$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.3	70	57.1%40 W · 30 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abb…bf93backed Over	53c	22.64$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ce9…723fbacked Over	73c	20.55$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	72cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecc6…a1c4backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9355…038dbacked Under	66c	16$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.44	25	64%16 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	72cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Albania vs. Israel: O/U 1.5this page
Albania vs. Israel: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Albania vs. Israel: O/U 0.5Over won
Albania vs. Israel: O/U 2.5Under won
Albania vs. Israel: O/U 3.5Under won
Albania vs. Israel: O/U 4.5Under won
Albania vs. Israel: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Albania (-1.5)Israel won
Spread: Albania (-2.5)Israel won
Spread: Israel (-1.5)Albania won
Spread: Israel (-2.5)Albania won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Albania vs. Israel: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event