Fifa International · resolved market
Albania vs. Israel: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea67580b099bf5fbe30e55c563f080ca961568e8b77d754b493f07c1bb1a0e65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 25c | 1,941$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.04 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 80c | 1,408$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.09 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 5c | 1,399$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.05 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 25c | 1,397$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 24c | 1,142$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.03 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a3…5b2dbacked Over | 26c | 659.41$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.13 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 76c | 657$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.14 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 75c | 603$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.91 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 3c | 599.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 75c | 492$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.9 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 24c | 478$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.72 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 76c | 327.99$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 75c | 301$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.95 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 75c | 241.76$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.58 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Over | 24c | 233$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Under | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 76c | 182.54$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 76c | 169.73$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 19c | 140.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 73c | 140.41$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Over | 24c | 132$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Over | 23c | 113.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 212 | 26.9%57 W · 155 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 18c | 59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Over | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 145 | 26.2%38 W · 107 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 77c | 43.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 76c | 25.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Under | 77c | 20.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 100 | 68%68 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Under | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 77c | 18.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Albania vs. Israel: O/U 3.5this page
- Albania vs. Israel: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Albania vs. Israel: O/U 0.5Over won
- Albania vs. Israel: O/U 1.5Under won
- Albania vs. Israel: O/U 2.5Under won
- Albania vs. Israel: O/U 4.5Under won
- Albania vs. Israel: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Albania (-1.5)Israel won
- Spread: Albania (-2.5)Israel won
- Spread: Israel (-1.5)Albania won
- Spread: Israel (-2.5)Albania won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.