South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Tijuana vs. Club Santos Laguna: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6531e3a283b49430afa02025758a14fb435bdd25da0f7e37a866e3a8247bf3d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,750 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed No | 49c | 1,100$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.99 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 52c | 727.16$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.79 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 54c | 705.29$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.59 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x739a…f78abacked Yes | 56c | 576.78$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.78 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 45c | 461.77$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.71 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…ba5fbacked No | 44c | 329.25$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed No | 66c | 281.13$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Yes | 56c | 178.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.48 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…c7adbacked No | 45c | 165.63$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 54c | 165.52$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…199abacked Yes | 47c | 160.8$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.22 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 36c | 156.29$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.74 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked No | 67c | 149.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf6…4eaabacked No | 44c | 148.36$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb11d…3706backed No | 44c | 145.78$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3297…43cdbacked No | 44c | 141.7$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…f103backed No | 44c | 140.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb495…7c65backed Yes | 56c | 121.43$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e37…cfbdbacked Yes | 56c | 113.89$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…3e44backed Yes | 56c | 109.29$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1d…32fabacked Yes | 56c | 106.07$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed No | 67c | 75.76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed No | 59c | 67.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -9.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7f…0a55backed Yes | 56c | 55.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Yes | 52c | 39.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 47c | 39.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 40c | 36.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c23…c9ddbacked No | 46c | 32.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 23.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd0…31c9backed Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 55c | 22.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Tijuana vs. Club Santos Laguna: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Club Tijuana vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Tijuana vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Tijuana vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Santos Laguna (-1.5)Club Tijuana won
- Spread: Club Santos Laguna (-2.5)Club Tijuana won
- Spread: Club Tijuana (-1.5)Club Santos Laguna won
- Spread: Club Tijuana (-2.5)Club Santos Laguna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.