South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Club Tijuana (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x640f5fbd42ed80c495bd0f60b6c5c63ed7755c883aacd15e8afa963ccc6f36fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Club Santos Lagunaof Club Tijuana, Club Santos Laguna
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,012 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Club Tijuana | 39c | 2,222$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.58 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Club Santos Laguna | 69c | 1,811$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.45 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Club Santos Laguna | 61c | 1,800$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…13b5backed Club Santos Laguna | 61c | 1,138$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.92 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Club Tijuana | 28c | 1,050$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.12 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Club Santos Laguna | 64c | 881$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.79 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Club Tijuana | 35c | 390$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Club Tijuana | 39c | 358.47$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.8 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Club Tijuana | 40c | 325$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Club Tijuana | 30c | 317$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.1 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Club Tijuana | 39c | 316.25$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Club Tijuana | 38c | 119$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Club Tijuana | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Club Santos Laguna | 64c | 98.67$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Club Tijuana | 35c | 74.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Club Tijuana | 38c | 74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Club Santos Laguna | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6a…4f13backed Club Tijuana | 36c | 35.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Club Santos Laguna | 68c | 35.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Club Santos Laguna | 64c | 33.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…c7a6backed Club Santos Laguna | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Club Santos Laguna | 77c | 26.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…b024backed Club Santos Laguna | 66c | 25.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Club Santos Laguna | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd4…597cbacked Club Santos Laguna | 65c | 22.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Club Santos Laguna | 65c | 16.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc194…f69fbacked Club Santos Laguna | 64c | 16.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Club Tijuana (-1.5)this page
- Club Tijuana vs. Club Santos Laguna: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Tijuana vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Tijuana vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Tijuana vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Santos Laguna (-1.5)Club Tijuana won
- Spread: Club Santos Laguna (-2.5)Club Tijuana won
- Spread: Club Tijuana (-2.5)Club Santos Laguna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.