South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Tijuana vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90d7149fd90b35fc5ce912308aea437f13e513fd67bd303ee4318f40e80918ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,868 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 951.28$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.64 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 852.47$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.97 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 799.73$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.18 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Over | 50c | 798$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 51c | 769.1$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.86 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 9c | 689.41$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.83 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Under | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 49c | 497.81$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.5 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 50c | 497.48$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.74 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 50c | 358.55$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.86 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd165…ed18backed Under | 19c | 243.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 80c | 208.25$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…a708backed Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 20c | 151$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Over | 65c | 115.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.86 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 57c | 105.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05f8…d87fbacked Over | 67c | 105$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Over | 51c | 52.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 51c | 43.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c20…6fd4backed Over | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Under | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9001…5eadbacked Over | 51c | 33.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 60c | 32.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Over | 77c | 31.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2f…a3d8backed Under | 40c | 28.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 76c | 27.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 52c | 21.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Tijuana vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 1.5this page
- Club Tijuana vs. Club Santos Laguna: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Tijuana vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Tijuana vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Santos Laguna (-1.5)Club Tijuana won
- Spread: Club Santos Laguna (-2.5)Club Tijuana won
- Spread: Club Tijuana (-1.5)Club Santos Laguna won
- Spread: Club Tijuana (-2.5)Club Santos Laguna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.