South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Tijuana vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe81baf79c9a42c14378d279594d71f6ffa5f03850a987a0fc1b1e21a28566e2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,504 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 5,849$3,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,028.46 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 53c | 4,000$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.98 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 58c | 2,597$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.09 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 42c | 1,258$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.36 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 16c | 1,141$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.7 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 43c | 1,134$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.14 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 1,022$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.86 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Under | 48c | 1,000$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 47c | 702.83$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.75 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 53c | 653.7$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.19 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 59c | 603.49$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.49 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 40c | 513.82$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.8 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 44c | 460.68$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.45 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Over | 59c | 459.7$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.99 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 438.64$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.08 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 41c | 396.72$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.68 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 31c | 320.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.67 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked Under | 65c | 307.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 42c | 251$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.42 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 42c | 248.09$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 42c | 243$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.96 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed Over | 58c | 208.34$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Over | 29c | 186.21$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 58c | 138.97$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 48c | 138.25$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.89 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff61…e560backed Under | 75c | 117.8$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…a708backed Over | 58c | 110$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 26c | 104.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.24 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Over | 35c | 100.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.11 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 44c | 65.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Over | 43c | 62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Over | 39c | 61.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 57c | 57.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…1fa8backed Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…07eabacked Over | 53c | 56.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9666…2af8backed Under | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 45c | 53.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…33acbacked Over | 58c | 53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…56aebacked Over | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…d25fbacked Over | 58c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +132.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Over | 47c | 42.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 42c | 42.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 51c | 41.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 58c | 38.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 42c | 35.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 49c | 34.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6f…f414backed Over | 59c | 34.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cd…2da0backed Under | 63c | 31.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 43c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 55c | 27.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 55c | 27.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd0…31c9backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 49c | 23.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Tijuana vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 2.5this page
- Club Tijuana vs. Club Santos Laguna: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Tijuana vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Tijuana vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Santos Laguna (-1.5)Club Tijuana won
- Spread: Club Santos Laguna (-2.5)Club Tijuana won
- Spread: Club Tijuana (-1.5)Club Santos Laguna won
- Spread: Club Tijuana (-2.5)Club Santos Laguna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.