NHL · resolved market
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5737b1b731dd47c886dd0e3633b048148466550818c86c268955d9559230ecb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Salavat Yulaev Ufaof Salavat Yulaev Ufa, Metallurg Magnitogorsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 65c | 760.04$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.45 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 35c | 617.2$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.18 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf6…4eaabacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 65c | 182.81$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851e…d153backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 65c | 154.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 33c | 99.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5a…aca1backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 60c | 83.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1d…32fabacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 65c | 73.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 65c | 67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 30c | 58.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 50c | 55.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +5.9wins | +0.45per pick | 24cpaid | +147.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…5638backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 65c | 52.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 91 | 68.1%62 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…3e44backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 35c | 47.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ac…2de8backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 35c | 47.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfb…27b3backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 70c | 47.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3297…43cdbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 35c | 44.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1e…8107backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 35c | 43.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…ed48backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 35c | 39.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…41c4backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 35c | 39.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4888…f20bbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 35c | 37.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…a251backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 35c | 37.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 40cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 37c | 28.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf77c…61cabacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 63c | 16.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.