NHL · resolved market
Sharks vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01f7ec51a42c25ac2bdf6e8e7df26ec7dc63ab460608fceee866a75592bf7342
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,099 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb886…53f9backed Under | 49c | 3,922$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9258…99a3backed Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Under | 50c | 3,028$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.01 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 51c | 2,752$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.61 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 50c | 2,222$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2196…da90backed Over | 50c | 2,020$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 1,872$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.92 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.2 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Under | 50c | 900.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.5 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c0…9740backed Under | 50c | 758$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…681abacked Over | 50c | 730$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 590.93$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.07 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 567.71$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.85 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5298…e35bbacked Over | 50c | 403.38$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef55…1a6bbacked Under | 51c | 399.53$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Under | 49c | 388.71$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.17 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 31c | 262.41$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.35 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3297…43cdbacked Under | 50c | 196.15$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb56a…a2eabacked Under | 49c | 184$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 51c | 171$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.17 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 162.8$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…79b7backed Under | 49c | 146.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Over | 50c | 140.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.44 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 67c | 116$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 101.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 50c | 100.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…1805backed Over | 50c | 69.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe285…5754backed Over | 50c | 63.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 38cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…ed19backed Over | 50c | 62.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bd…94d4backed Over | 51c | 62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 51c | 61.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8747…af2cbacked Over | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…7185backed Over | 51c | 52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 69c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…0a6bbacked Over | 51c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4c…394abacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Over | 52c | 38.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…5243backed Over | 51c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 52c | 29.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 51c | 26.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 49c | 25.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5292…a5f3backed Over | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Under | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…f266backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…9758backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc09…a8b0backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sharks vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5this page
- Sharks vs. BruinsSharks won
- Sharks vs. Bruins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sharks vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Sharks vs. Bruins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.