NHL · resolved market
Sharks vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf308de20bf0d10b419395b984b68eababa322659fa15896ad14e61f21542840
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,713 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 59c | 870.42$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.19 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 61c | 653.65$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.72 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 27c | 508.48$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.56 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 38c | 443.06$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.65 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 40c | 416$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.4 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83f5…a37fbacked Under | 38c | 413$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…b7a4backed Under | 38c | 406$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b18…1ab2backed Under | 38c | 373$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d100backed Over | 61c | 369.16$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.38 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9126…eaa1backed Under | 38c | 369$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e54…178dbacked Under | 38c | 357$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23f8…7678backed Under | 38c | 344$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9e…0790backed Over | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +136.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46e9…f21abacked Over | 62c | 298$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb06…b547backed Over | 62c | 292$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3509…300cbacked Under | 38c | 290$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd7…a3e3backed Over | 62c | 287$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 52c | 286.21$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.97 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x498d…eb07backed Under | 38c | 281$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -55%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…3587backed Under | 38c | 279$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -55%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…1618backed Over | 61c | 272.88$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x472e…e7cdbacked Over | 62c | 266$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe446…c56cbacked Over | 62c | 248$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1be8…7b99backed Over | 62c | 248$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Under | 40c | 247.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.22 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b96…a8d1backed Under | 38c | 242$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd506…d33cbacked Over | 62c | 232$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x804e…64fabacked Over | 62c | 230$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 39c | 221.84$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.52 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d90…1b61backed Under | 38c | 219$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b8…616ebacked Over | 62c | 217$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Under | 11c | 215$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…6cf6backed Over | 62c | 204$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a4…c178backed Over | 62c | 198$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…c208backed Over | 62c | 190$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 64c | 188$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.91 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a00…8fbabacked Over | 62c | 187$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9033…343fbacked Over | 62c | 187$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9107…092fbacked Over | 62c | 185$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Under | 36c | 184.32$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb38…fb23backed Over | 62c | 177$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2089…f039backed Over | 62c | 164$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x440f…b6f0backed Under | 38c | 163$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Over | 61c | 161.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201d…2a88backed Under | 38c | 159$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Over | 65c | 111.82$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa00…acb0backed Under | 38c | 109$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee9…3726backed Under | 38c | 106$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 63c | 79.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 37c | 73.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…1ab8backed Under | 39c | 70.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…99d0backed Under | 39c | 70.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…4d28backed Under | 39c | 68.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf392…bb0dbacked Under | 39c | 64.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Under | 56c | 44.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 34c | 41.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 38c | 37.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 59c | 36.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 39c | 32.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Over | 53c | 20.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Over | 56c | 18.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed Under | 61c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sharks vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5this page
- Sharks vs. BruinsSharks won
- Sharks vs. Bruins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sharks vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Sharks vs. Bruins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.