NHL · resolved market
KHL: Sibir Novosibirsk vs. CSKA Moscow
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a16675840a439e4470c5fc24a106c39343ef6d65da53ea5e172e5c175a8d0ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sibir Novosibirskof Sibir Novosibirsk, CSKA Moscow
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,959 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b0…687ebacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 40c | 779.26$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 76c | 763.89$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.98 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked CSKA Moscow | 23c | 756$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.04 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45a…46adbacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 40c | 686.54$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e37…cfbdbacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 40c | 581.46$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed CSKA Moscow | 13c | 567.62$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1e…8107backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 40c | 554.94$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…b654backed CSKA Moscow | 60c | 406.68$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dec…058cbacked CSKA Moscow | 60c | 372.58$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e1…d4d9backed CSKA Moscow | 60c | 293.46$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 39c | 289.78$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.77 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed CSKA Moscow | 25c | 285.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.09 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed CSKA Moscow | 16c | 274.54$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e1…d473backed CSKA Moscow | 60c | 258.74$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1d…32fabacked CSKA Moscow | 60c | 234.96$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d2…a07abacked CSKA Moscow | 60c | 234.07$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb342…cc01backed CSKA Moscow | 60c | 215.83$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed CSKA Moscow | 46c | 215.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 51c | 203.58$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 40c | 176.1$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.66 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +58%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed CSKA Moscow | 23c | 174.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…eb85backed CSKA Moscow | 60c | 168.6$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5955…f86ebacked CSKA Moscow | 60c | 153.25$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 55c | 149.33$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…5c32backed CSKA Moscow | 60c | 136.66$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked CSKA Moscow | 60c | 125$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3297…43cdbacked CSKA Moscow | 60c | 124.82$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed CSKA Moscow | 59c | 101$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.09 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked CSKA Moscow | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed CSKA Moscow | 61c | 99.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aca…5b87backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 42c | 95.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…0605backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 41c | 87.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed CSKA Moscow | 21c | 86.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 67c | 84.14$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 80c | 69.55$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d3c9backed CSKA Moscow | 45c | 53.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 50c | 51.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed CSKA Moscow | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…a84cbacked CSKA Moscow | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe57f…ad35backed CSKA Moscow | 61c | 45.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 69c | 45.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 78c | 44.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e4…517ebacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 60c | 36.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…db07backed CSKA Moscow | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 242 | 59.1%143 W · 99 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc3…e9a2backed CSKA Moscow | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked CSKA Moscow | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Sibir Novosibirsk | 75c | 26.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed CSKA Moscow | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed CSKA Moscow | 47c | 24.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked CSKA Moscow | 57c | 22.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked CSKA Moscow | 61c | 19.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x278b…6a23backed Sibir Novosibirsk | 60c | 17.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.