Fifa International · resolved market
Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb6b82884b996506928defeba596987b1d3f72ed6772315a3b2199d87295d1bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 9c | 7,370$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.56 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 38c | 3,926$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.13 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Under | 17c | 3,491$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.16 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 38c | 2,358$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.91 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed Over | 62c | 1,600$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.89 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 40c | 1,400$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.99 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 69c | 1,018$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.28 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Over | 63c | 1,011$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.8 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Under | 42c | 999.84$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.93 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ca…30f9backed Over | 59c | 844.47$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.47 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 75c | 815.94$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.98 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 63c | 795.36$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.36 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Under | 40c | 709.97$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.89 | 197 | 23.4%46 W · 151 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 61c | 588.45$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.51 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 17c | 557.26$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.73 | 347 | 31.1%108 W · 239 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 62c | 514.35$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.45 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 61c | 316.07$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.16 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 62c | 300.5$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.24 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Under | 5c | 299.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Under | 5c | 299.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 7.4%4 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 59c | 287.21$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.7 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbff…d177backed Under | 38c | 270$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 62c | 268.22$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.92 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3297…43cdbacked Under | 39c | 267.96$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 75c | 248.17$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.61 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Over | 61c | 247$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.33 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 62c | 245.27$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 8c | 243.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 26c | 226.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over | 76c | 206.58$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…36dfbacked Over | 61c | 199.93$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.97 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed3…fc81backed Over | 63c | 189.21$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.01 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 9c | 180.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 59c | 169.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Under | 17c | 165$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 245 | 55.1%135 W · 110 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…736ebacked Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 37c | 149.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked Under | 14c | 145.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 341 | 22.3%76 W · 265 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 58c | 141.47$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.42 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…26bcbacked Over | 63c | 128.8$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.23 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 58c | 118.71$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.86 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Under | 41c | 98.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…24f3backed Under | 26c | 95.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 158 | 45.6%72 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba08…21f1backed Over | 61c | 91.41$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…6266backed Over | 61c | 90.27$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 61c | 88$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf6…4eaabacked Over | 61c | 86.28$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ca…da6abacked Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 23c | 72.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 38c | 63.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 62c | 49.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 58c | 37.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Over | 80c | 36.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Over | 58c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 58c | 34.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 631 | 52.9%334 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x317f…3a7abacked Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc320…0997backed Over | 63c | 25.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 63c | 21.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…16cfbacked Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ac…e602backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe499…f953backed Over | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Over | 60c | 18.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Over | 58c | 17.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Over | 63c | 16.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7776…5bdcbacked Over | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)Türkiye won
- Spread: Türkiye (-2.5)Türkiye won
- Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.