TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,941
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,333

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,941 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Over51c80,000$40,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,599.8617034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c61,850$31,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,528.844,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under44c7,679$3,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,300.243,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under58c2,775$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.212,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed Under53c2,663$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.7314544.8%65 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under49c1,940$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.6112146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over12c1,853$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.083,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Under62c1,622$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.1221143.1%91 W · 120 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Over1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1590%0 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Over1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15547.4%4 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+123.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Under54c1,425$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.9220150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99e2…ffd9backed Over34c1,249$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.591631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under53c1,040$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.3914433.3%48 W · 96 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa31a…d023backed Over25c1,023$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.24727.7%13 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under70c978.53$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.8634731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over54c923.14$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under53c888$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42033443.4%145 W · 189 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under51c782.82$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.8251514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under54c685.3$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.5716116.1%26 W · 135 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa902…d159backed Under65c617.17$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.174744.7%21 W · 26 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over20c600$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12043826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over8c594.33$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.94,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under51c585.67$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.2763151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under48c488.66$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.5619946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Under76c462.81$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8111252.7%59 W · 53 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-16.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Under80c414.81$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0637451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…4806backed Over50c404$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under58c386.85$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.321,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26ca…da6abacked Under56c359.76$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.766958%40 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc83f…ed1ebacked Under69c348.25$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.257636.8%28 W · 48 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+103.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.918334.9%29 W · 54 L-8.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under58c335.12$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.7119218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under61c334.82$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.8525125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under80c300.55$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1141857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13815646.2%72 W · 84 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over21c299.15$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.829124.2%22 W · 69 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under48c250.85$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.094,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under57c248.52$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4642952%223 W · 206 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x63f5…09ddbacked Over28c245.08$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.025719.3%11 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over5c229$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4551250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Under63c214.46$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.467352.1%38 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf12d…0fddbacked Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008843.2%38 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Under77c210$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.331156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010438.5%40 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd60f…5165backed Under80c175.33$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.327659.2%45 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over27c174.02$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.281,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under48c170.29$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.551,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under44c154.55$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.5523658.1%137 W · 99 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over30c152.77$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5223345.1%105 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under44c150$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8419448.5%94 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked Under79c149.15$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.323669.4%25 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x414c…f10bbacked Under77c148.5$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.16475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+68.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under50c136$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6911860.2%71 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x814e…40b1backed Over58c134.68$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783060%18 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x700b…8d0bbacked Under53c128.94$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8212750.4%64 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe00e…ea73backed Over57c125.06$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2810732.7%35 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508048.8%39 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over20c123.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2545120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Over12c119$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9911238.4%43 W · 69 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Under46c118.02$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1718056.1%101 W · 79 L+14.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe2e1…6516backed Over56c107.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f4…2df9backed Under66c104.55$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.55837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick62cpaid-38.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84c3…35d4backed Over47c104$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.887634.2%26 W · 50 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over57c101.75$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587347.9%35 W · 38 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Over31c101.42$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6351429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xfaa0…441abacked Over39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393444.1%15 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc36…0665backed Over55c99.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9918649.5%92 W · 94 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under47c97.78$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.081,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over21c97.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4720330.5%62 W · 141 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…40adbacked Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503923.1%9 W · 30 L-6.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-41.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over22c91.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207824.4%19 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1d3…f1abbacked Under56c91.5$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.53862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+70.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over53c86.42$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.730836%111 W · 197 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Under54c85.9$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.575246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8af5…4bbabacked Over55c80$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449445.7%43 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Under44c79.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5227154.6%148 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2912…6817backed Over59c79.29$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.879754.6%53 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x743c…03debacked Over42c71.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-73.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over27c68.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.532,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ddb…a7a5backed Over44c68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.925552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over33c65.87$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8223940.6%97 W · 142 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over57c65.26$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3716547.9%79 W · 86 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcffd…a39dbacked Over46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.25per pick46cpaid-48.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7097…811cbacked Over46c60.04$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6211364.6%73 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e4…5583backed Under48c58$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.172864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over50c58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2915543.9%68 W · 87 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2528240.8%115 W · 167 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Under59c55.2$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6412252.5%64 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c39…7fbdbacked Under62c55.1$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-59.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under55c54.35$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3613530.4%41 W · 94 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106373%46 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick74cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.52254.5%12 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick67cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under52c49.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2418444.6%82 W · 102 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under48c49.82$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9486455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cea…ffd2backed Under80c49.78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.968451.2%43 W · 41 L-8.8wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under79c49.52$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.42,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked Under52c48.74$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.34955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ae3…93c3backed Under60c47.9$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.286575.4%49 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over31c47.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.691,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under79c45.39$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.351,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.