Fifa International · resolved market
Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb709a5b84c04c2d97e8fdefa8ea87e79893776966a5ad975f91be988fe74518
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Over | 51c | 80,000$40,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,599.86 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 61,850$31,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,528.84 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 44c | 7,679$3,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300.24 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 58c | 2,775$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.21 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…e455backed Under | 53c | 2,663$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.73 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 49c | 1,940$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.61 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 12c | 1,853$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.08 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Under | 62c | 1,622$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.12 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Over | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Over | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 7.4%4 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…a596backed Under | 54c | 1,425$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.92 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99e2…ffd9backed Over | 34c | 1,249$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.59 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 53c | 1,040$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.39 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Over | 25c | 1,023$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.2 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 70c | 978.53$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.86 | 347 | 31.1%108 W · 239 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 54c | 923.14$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 53c | 888$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 334 | 43.4%145 W · 189 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 51c | 782.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.82 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 54c | 685.3$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.57 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa902…d159backed Under | 65c | 617.17$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.17 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 8c | 594.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 51c | 585.67$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.27 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 48c | 488.66$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.56 | 199 | 46.7%93 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Under | 76c | 462.81$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.81 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Under | 80c | 414.81$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.06 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Over | 50c | 404$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 386.85$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.32 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ca…da6abacked Under | 56c | 359.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.76 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…ed1ebacked Under | 69c | 348.25$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.25 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Under | 58c | 335.12$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.71 | 192 | 18.8%36 W · 156 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Under | 61c | 334.82$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.85 | 251 | 25.1%63 W · 188 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 80c | 300.55$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.11 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 21c | 299.15$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.82 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 250.85$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.09 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under | 57c | 248.52$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.46 | 429 | 52%223 W · 206 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked Over | 28c | 245.08$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 5c | 229$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 63c | 214.46$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.46 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Under | 77c | 210$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…5165backed Under | 80c | 175.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 27c | 174.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 48c | 170.29$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.55 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 44c | 154.55$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.55 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 30c | 152.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Under | 79c | 149.15$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x414c…f10bbacked Under | 77c | 148.5$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 50c | 136$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.69 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814e…40b1backed Over | 58c | 134.68$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…8d0bbacked Under | 53c | 128.94$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.82 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00e…ea73backed Over | 57c | 125.06$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 107 | 32.7%35 W · 72 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 20c | 123.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Over | 12c | 119$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8a…cb94backed Under | 46c | 118.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.17 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +14.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…6516backed Over | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f4…2df9backed Under | 66c | 104.55$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Over | 47c | 104$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 57c | 101.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Over | 31c | 101.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Over | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 47c | 97.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 21c | 97.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…40adbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 22c | 91.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d3…f1abbacked Under | 56c | 91.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 53c | 86.42$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Under | 54c | 85.9$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Over | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Under | 44c | 79.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 271 | 54.6%148 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2912…6817backed Over | 59c | 79.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x743c…03debacked Over | 42c | 71.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 27c | 68.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddb…a7a5backed Over | 44c | 68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 33c | 65.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 57c | 65.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcffd…a39dbacked Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7097…811cbacked Over | 46c | 60.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e4…5583backed Under | 48c | 58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 50c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 59c | 55.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…7fbdbacked Under | 62c | 55.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under | 55c | 54.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 135 | 30.4%41 W · 94 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 48c | 49.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…ffd2backed Under | 80c | 49.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 79c | 49.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Under | 52c | 48.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae3…93c3backed Under | 60c | 47.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 31c | 47.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 79c | 45.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)Türkiye won
- Spread: Türkiye (-2.5)Türkiye won
- Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.