Fifa International · resolved market
Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e3c83350d2ef052753a3dfe092f5e8eac04274231a9c542b932ea85129c91b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 2,994$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.28 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 17c | 2,900$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.96 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 43c | 702.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf82…a88ebacked Yes | 43c | 627.79$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.95 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 6c | 576.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 57c | 572.32$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.94 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed No | 78c | 490$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Yes | 43c | 456.82$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.43 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe3…dc29backed No | 52c | 394.92$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…f0d8backed No | 73c | 381.28$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.59 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 57c | 360.39$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.97 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 42c | 327.13$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.29 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 15c | 283.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 57c | 242.31$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.55 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 32c | 237.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96a0…79ddbacked Yes | 43c | 232.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…5ac3backed No | 78c | 230.32$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 38c | 228.95$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4691…2a8abacked Yes | 31c | 225.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed No | 72c | 183.45$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.37 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 59c | 169.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 63c | 166.73$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.92 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 157.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes | 42c | 152.38$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +8.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes | 34c | 147.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 58c | 129.48$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 70c | 123.47$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 387 | 45%174 W · 213 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 58c | 120$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c0…90f1backed Yes | 42c | 114.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 162 | 40.1%65 W · 97 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed No | 60c | 96.26$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…f3ebbacked No | 51c | 91.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -7.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 40c | 72.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 42c | 70.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 311 | 47.9%149 W · 162 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Yes | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0e…1512backed Yes | 41c | 69.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Yes | 43c | 68.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes | 41c | 65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 256 | 39.1%100 W · 156 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…dfe9backed No | 55c | 63.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e5…b4e9backed No | 60c | 61.89$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe735…b650backed Yes | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 62c | 56.42$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4937…072ebacked No | 63c | 55.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…79a9backed No | 59c | 50.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 120 | 60%72 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed No | 60c | 50.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 277 | 67.9%188 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…a4d7backed No | 60c | 41.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed No | 54c | 40.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 52c | 39.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf9…dbb9backed Yes | 50c | 39.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 33c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…a387backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e15…bdb2backed No | 59c | 33.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fd…fe29backed Yes | 42c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Yes | 43c | 27.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 69c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 40c | 25.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…6f82backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked No | 60c | 24.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed No | 57c | 20.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7df1backed No | 57c | 17.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)Türkiye won
- Spread: Türkiye (-2.5)Türkiye won
- Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.