Fifa International · resolved market
Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f368d29c25a8f1e942e3b343e80401f5f89f2bed587bf7ef9f8ccad6721618a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 12c | 3,411$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.32 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 12c | 2,626$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.25 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 8c | 1,126$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.31 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Over | 10c | 910$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Under | 76c | 394.84$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.84 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Over | 26c | 377.74$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.21 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 8c | 299.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Over | 11c | 299.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 124 | 37.1%46 W · 78 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Over | 23c | 273.91$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 8c | 240$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 8c | 198.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0497…c5e3backed Over | 7c | 179.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 16c | 170$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 20c | 165$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…179ebacked Over | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef89…4239backed Under | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 79cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…0f4cbacked Under | 75c | 14.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)Türkiye won
- Spread: Türkiye (-2.5)Türkiye won
- Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.