TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Türkiye (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Türkiyeof Türkiye, North Macedonia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,771
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,588

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,771 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Türkiye54c4,508$2,447 inWon+$2,061.162,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed North Macedonia40c2,881$1,140 inLost-$1,139.674,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Türkiye37c893.77$334 inWon+$559.7710236.3%37 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked North Macedonia53c859.87$458 inLost-$458.3310042%42 W · 58 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed North Macedonia65c736.03$478 inLost-$478.1776551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05bc…f3ebbacked North Macedonia55c623$342 inLost-$342.438734.5%30 W · 57 L-7.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Türkiye50c483.23$240 inWon+$243.4223940.6%97 W · 142 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed North Macedonia12c364.72$45 inLost-$4537323.1%86 W · 287 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Türkiye55c326.47$180 inWon+$146.7223345.1%105 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed North Macedonia12c306.44$37 inLost-$36.774,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked North Macedonia65c280.12$183 inLost-$182.912,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d14…ff3ebacked Türkiye37c273.92$100 inWon+$173.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked North Macedonia64c182.78$117 inLost-$117.431,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Türkiye35c173.6$61 inWon+$112.843,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed North Macedonia66c166.99$110 inLost-$110.383,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed North Macedonia65c163.76$106 inLost-$106.4541857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fca…1938backed North Macedonia65c153.85$100 inLost-$1009849%48 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed North Macedonia35c142.86$50 inLost-$507352.1%38 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Türkiye32c105.56$34 inWon+$71.598,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed North Macedonia65c100.7$65 inLost-$65.1981554.8%447 W · 368 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked North Macedonia37c55.11$20 inLost-$20.399124.2%22 W · 69 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Türkiye36c50$18 inWon+$321,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Türkiye36c49.33$18 inWon+$31.792,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked North Macedonia35c47.26$17 inLost-$16.7714647.3%69 W · 77 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Türkiye65c46.05$30 inWon+$15.9363151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked North Macedonia65c45.94$30 inLost-$29.8683153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1d8…cf06backed Türkiye37c43.24$16 inWon+$27.247448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7243…e409backed Türkiye54c36.88$20 inWon+$16.896251.6%32 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd764…ae83backed North Macedonia40c35.78$14 inLost-$14.263737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Türkiye35c30$11 inWon+$19.541344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Türkiye43c28.44$12 inWon+$16.271,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed North Macedonia72c27.75$20 inLost-$19.9818053.3%96 W · 84 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Türkiye65c24.62$16 inWon+$8.6219540%78 W · 117 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.