Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x455703bb73722a8da74e30ae48e4fa4a11fea01af1bab4775898acd1ec8ac42f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Türkiyeof Türkiye, North Macedonia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fe2…9645backed Türkiye | 61c | 1,633$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.09 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Türkiye | 52c | 1,540$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.13 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed North Macedonia | 41c | 1,301$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.72 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1530…6aaabacked Türkiye | 63c | 1,058$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.16 | 161 | 63.4%102 W · 59 L | +25.7wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked North Macedonia | 41c | 842.99$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.87 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed North Macedonia | 46c | 785.01$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.05 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed North Macedonia | 41c | 677.72$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.35 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked North Macedonia | 48c | 619$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.4 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked North Macedonia | 40c | 599.8$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.91 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Türkiye | 72c | 546.6$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.98 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked North Macedonia | 32c | 528.58$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.36 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Türkiye | 60c | 478.17$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.1 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed North Macedonia | 14c | 446.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.55 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Türkiye | 58c | 315.83$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.38 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed Türkiye | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Türkiye | 57c | 273.05$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.05 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed North Macedonia | 47c | 265$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.55 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed North Macedonia | 14c | 244.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 373 | 23.1%86 W · 287 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…1910backed Türkiye | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Türkiye | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 396 | 48.7%193 W · 203 L | -23.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b11…6f75backed Türkiye | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 57 | 77.2%44 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked North Macedonia | 11c | 165$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed North Macedonia | 28c | 122.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…6da4backed Türkiye | 59c | 109.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed North Macedonia | 47c | 108.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Türkiye | 57c | 100.35$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.15 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Türkiye | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked North Macedonia | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22bc…b0b2backed Türkiye | 60c | 98.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed North Macedonia | 40c | 95.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Türkiye | 60c | 87.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Türkiye | 59c | 84.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Türkiye | 60c | 81.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 131 | 59.5%78 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…cad3backed Türkiye | 59c | 64.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Türkiye | 59c | 56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Türkiye | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Türkiye | 59c | 49.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed North Macedonia | 41c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6e…2175backed Türkiye | 60c | 46.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d9…c160backed Türkiye | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…c7e6backed North Macedonia | 41c | 40.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed North Macedonia | 38c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed North Macedonia | 40c | 38.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed North Macedonia | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked North Macedonia | 42c | 36.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Türkiye | 54c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…f3ebbacked North Macedonia | 30c | 35.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -7.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Türkiye | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 171 | 49.1%84 W · 87 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x317f…3a7abacked Türkiye | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked North Macedonia | 41c | 32.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…6c37backed Türkiye | 60c | 31.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57c…b99bbacked Türkiye | 60c | 31.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc453…31f5backed Türkiye | 56c | 30.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed North Macedonia | 43c | 30.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd232…b817backed Türkiye | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0f…8175backed Türkiye | 60c | 26.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed North Macedonia | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Türkiye | 77c | 22.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Türkiye | 60c | 20.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 298 | 46%137 W · 161 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Türkiye | 79c | 15.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 220 | 52.3%115 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Türkiye (-2.5)Türkiye won
- Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.