TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,523
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,579

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,523 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8753…85adbacked Under52c1,666$864 inWon+$802.111,92253.4%1,027 W · 895 L+28.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over48c1,378$660 inLost-$660.138,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over30c417.41$125 inLost-$125.212,37547.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under50c382.15$192 inWon+$190.2611,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8609…a968backed Over50c288.6$144 inLost-$144.31662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under73c284$207 inWon+$76.868,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Over23c217$50 inLost-$49.9133934.5%117 W · 222 L-9.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Over50c132$66 inLost-$6619442.3%82 W · 112 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c128.06$75 inWon+$52.8112,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5955…f86ebacked Under70c127.41$89 inWon+$38.22450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over49c104.99$51 inLost-$51.4543954.7%240 W · 199 L+30.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under70c99.99$70 inWon+$3037357.4%214 W · 159 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over48c62.5$30 inLost-$305,14954.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L+231.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e0…3c1ebacked Over30c44.13$13 inLost-$13.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over50c44$22 inLost-$224,40544.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L+80.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16d2…a07abacked Over30c41.83$13 inLost-$12.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3297…43cdbacked Over30c41.45$12 inLost-$12.4430%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over28c39$11 inLost-$11.1127354.6%149 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Under52c38.46$20 inWon+$18.4624646.7%115 W · 131 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under51c37$19 inWon+$18.1399744.1%440 W · 557 L-38.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff66…39cfbacked Over48c34.4$17 inLost-$16.512646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under52c34.4$18 inWon+$16.513,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over48c31$15 inLost-$14.881,93941.2%799 W · 1,140 L-30.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c30.02$15 inWon+$15.0110,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over50c22.21$11 inLost-$11.116,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.