TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,441

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,441 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd529…f0d4backed Yes50c438.82$219 inLost-$219.411,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed No50c333$165 inWon+$167.891,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e37…cfbdbacked No49c305.31$150 inWon+$155.711560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No50c200$100 inWon+$1002,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Yes51c100$51 inLost-$5140053.5%214 W · 186 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked No50c80.15$40 inWon+$40.1593145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bfd…ff86backed Yes51c80.14$41 inLost-$40.871952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4888…f20bbacked Yes51c76.69$39 inLost-$39.111145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabc1…eaa0backed Yes51c75.99$39 inLost-$38.751145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3297…43cdbacked Yes51c73.33$37 inLost-$37.41250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes50c71$36 inLost-$35.54,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked No50c50.02$25 inWon+$25.0228536.8%105 W · 180 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85a7…d9f3backed Yes50c50$25 inLost-$2513345.9%61 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed Yes53c40$21 inLost-$2160267.3%405 W · 197 L+46.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed No50c30.18$15 inWon+$15.0919352.8%102 W · 91 L+11.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Yes51c20.82$11 inLost-$10.6283158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.