TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$196,741

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,741 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7e3a…3246backed Under53c88,974$47,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,526.6619954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed Over46c83,333$38,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,666.4912740.2%51 W · 76 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Over53c13,053$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,153.014535.6%16 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over48c11,999$5,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,274.612,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under48c8,047$3,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,862.4524045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c6,641$3,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,110.714,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Under61c6,552$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00017246.5%80 W · 92 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over41c5,381$2,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,199.361,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under53c3,899$2,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,068.212,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under42c3,476$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.081,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over49c3,368$1,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,707.492,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over53c2,990$1,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.072,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Under61c2,290$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.949938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over51c1,813$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.243,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c21…9b8abacked Under49c1,763$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8642740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd710…cf6fbacked Over61c1,643$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.83933.3%13 W · 26 L-6.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-37.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under50c1,624$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.8595651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over57c1,344$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.083,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c1,306$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.779,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over46c1,276$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.034,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Over52c1,209$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.2921243.4%92 W · 120 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under55c1,050$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.511,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6eb…5402backed Over55c1,045$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.4511159.5%66 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Under52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52031455.1%173 W · 141 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Over54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46033146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under48c895.91$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.053,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Under49c859.09$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4204367.4%29 W · 14 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+25.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c814.6$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.988,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Over70c799.99$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24020651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7b…9ab9backed Over69c627.71$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.7127462%170 W · 104 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Over49c570$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.7120744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4694…b6b2backed Over53c562.08$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.0810647.2%50 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under47c555.32$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26171449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under48c535.41$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2571,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2404,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over46c499.99$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26950241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over54c461$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.0630641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Over52c425$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20424151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over58c414.07$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.193,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over58c406.09$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.592,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under3c371.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5552230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Over56c357.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.8219145.5%87 W · 104 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c330.55$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.256,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c6…9211backed Over52c326.92$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.9214847.3%70 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfda5…53d7backed Under73c309.53$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.14742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over54c307$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.222,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under47c299.06$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.591,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over45c293.09$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.25,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under28c281.7$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9937848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over51c254.9$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.995452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over51c251.68$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.5591846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c38…a15abacked Over53c239.53$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.068342.2%35 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Over58c219.66$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.266963.8%44 W · 25 L+9.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under48c207.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.81,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under48c204.08$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9676552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Over58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847233.3%24 W · 48 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2254…e6e5backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004734%16 W · 31 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-33.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over47c199.94$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.9725846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Under48c197.93$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2114046.4%65 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x691f…5e69backed Under51c197.86$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.916355.6%35 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53f0…fff4backed Over77c194.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.464770.2%33 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Under52c192.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10056154.5%306 W · 255 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under47c187.43$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.091,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under68c181.82$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.732,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Under52c162$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6411342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7f…a8e5backed Under50c161.38$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6911732.5%38 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a33…9a46backed Over78c161.21$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2613953.2%74 W · 65 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over53c160.34$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3345445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c1…18c7backed Over54c159.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.614042.9%60 W · 80 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Under53c156.19$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1917844.4%79 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Under24c150.03$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4711128.8%32 W · 79 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-19.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x976b…cf45backed Over57c144.76$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.621376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick69cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under55c134.81$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7390357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over55c127.27$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2723657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under58c125.98$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.51,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d46…98e9backed Over70c123.22$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.97666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under45c120.61$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.375,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Over52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3824358%141 W · 102 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Over54c111.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5730845.8%141 W · 167 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3d3…bd58backed Under47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503727%10 W · 27 L-5.5wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-36.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8c46…fc02backed Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+80.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under47c95.94$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.854,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7f2…d2d8backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.593661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over49c90.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.721,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x386d…9bb6backed Over47c90.08$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.322924.1%7 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-47.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over51c87.65$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.731,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9734…8f5ebacked Under36c86.94$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2146346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under51c82.67$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3245452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x07a0…7a80backed Over58c82.03$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.192763%17 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under46c77.58$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.692,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb781…9ba9backed Under73c68.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012047.5%57 W · 63 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf2d…e660backed Over52c67.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3111343.4%49 W · 64 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf756…59c2backed Over79c66.44$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.05425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-68.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under47c66$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2423350.6%118 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under34c65.41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9565630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under47c64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0895260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Under47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029351.9%152 W · 141 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.