TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,676

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,676 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c21,026$10,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,418.389,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Under51c19,520$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0008838.6%34 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over50c16,605$8,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,307.2648352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under50c12,839$6,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,459.462,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over53c11,081$5,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,171.142,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Over51c10,573$5,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,130.836654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Over49c9,818$4,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,007.3738251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over48c7,604$3,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,939.542,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4501,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Under49c4,853$2,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,361.3292753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Under51c4,707$2,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,400.5782442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under48c3,785$1,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,816.5870246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Under54c3,400$1,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,835.3118536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under41c3,342$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.941,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over52c3,230$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.465750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c3,229$1,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,582.12,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4270…e461backed Under49c3,179$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.714742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Over52c3,077$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.9228554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c2,885$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.384,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c2,700$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.964,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75e1…3ff3backed Under52c2,644$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.018853.4%47 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under51c2,316$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.171,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over51c2,020$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.26,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Over51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7526637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c1,785$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.194,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked Under48c1,460$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.073831.6%12 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over52c1,155$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.42,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Under51c1,060$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.635749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Over49c1,006$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.121243.4%92 W · 120 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48016953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over49c946.94$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.683,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over51c927.25$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.3523850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under49c907.64$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.741,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under50c901$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.4354443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over50c897.68$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.722,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3e7…a322backed Under50c779.5$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.756157.4%35 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Over58c732.69$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.724151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c662.51$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.568,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under50c640$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed Over50c509.46$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.731250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Over51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24551753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under50c467.17$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.581,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9325…adafbacked Under49c448.98$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22011754.7%64 W · 53 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under49c412$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.841,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Under49c411.34$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017051.8%88 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10c6…19b6backed Under48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1928253.7%44 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66d6…cf1fbacked Under49c391.84$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over58c388.14$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.023,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Under49c338.1$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.6740546.9%190 W · 215 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Over50c329.08$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.5419045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over51c324.84$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.1726048.1%125 W · 135 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under57c307.14$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.122,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15028348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26b1…c3ddbacked Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503246.9%15 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over47c260.85$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.111,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Under52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13015240.8%62 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over47c216.76$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.823,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Over45c205.77$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.1753149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10021748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9630641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under50c198$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under50c196.07$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0476552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c194.53$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.463,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under50c193.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.31,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Over74c186.77$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5633159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2254…e6e5backed Under56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004734%16 W · 31 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-33.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Over46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.815543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over43c149.71$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.761,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over50c140.54$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2740344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over52c134.62$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.621,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over48c133.66$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3991846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc435…2494backed Under50c133.29$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over48c114.66$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.835,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over42c112.86$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.524,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Under19c112.32$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0410028%28 W · 72 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under52c109.14$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.591,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9030…cf12backed Over50c108$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5412046.7%56 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5039552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda1c…5527backed Over51c102.51$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.623339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa139…f574backed Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4939435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5052246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9734…8f5ebacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5078648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa09e…9368backed Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488353%44 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed Under49c99.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4914151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over51c98.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.032,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over51c98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0267248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Over50c94.31$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7425651.6%132 W · 124 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8614…ffc6backed Over51c92.43$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.293554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over54c92.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2831151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over52c90$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.545251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under53c89.51$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6545452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1bb…6cc9backed Under49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407454.1%40 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Under50c74$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2453839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Over50c70.29$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1516338.7%63 W · 100 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3f9…0975backed Under20c70$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144231%13 W · 29 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-30.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Over48c70$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7512227%33 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.