Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71aa224cb3319bd3ea936b979097a23ae49a3a5920cbf4a61caba7e25f087407
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 13,470$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600.3 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit | 51c | 8,067$4,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,961.14 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Spirit | 51c | 5,555$2,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,721.95 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…f8fabacked Team Spirit | 59c | 5,023$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,062.65 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 4,920$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.3 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 4,341$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.46 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 3,999$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.9 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 2,260$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.64 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit | 53c | 2,213$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.47 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Spirit | 52c | 1,457$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.3 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 43c | 1,382$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.56 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Team Spirit | 50c | 1,342$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,318$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.71 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Team Spirit | 54c | 1,089$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.38 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…886abacked Natus Vincere | 17c | 1,033$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.52 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc43f…c86dbacked Natus Vincere | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 984.9$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.03 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Team Spirit | 58c | 975$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.1 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Spirit | 50c | 903.09$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.11 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Natus Vincere | 13c | 815.09$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.27 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 750$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.02 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 718.15$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.53 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 651.01$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.79 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 645.83$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.87 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Spirit | 44c | 565.08$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.1 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 550.6$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.61 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 533.51$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.95 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Spirit | 47c | 500$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Spirit | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 486$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 444.8$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.8 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 432.89$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.34 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Spirit | 47c | 410$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.52 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Spirit | 51c | 395.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.29 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Spirit | 56c | 391.11$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.85 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…a251backed Team Spirit | 52c | 370.09$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 368.72$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.72 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Team Spirit | 53c | 368.44$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.06 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 367.95$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.58 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 358.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Team Spirit | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Spirit | 50c | 334$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 300$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.51 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Spirit | 47c | 287.04$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.13 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x376f…5a0ebacked Team Spirit | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed Team Spirit | 49c | 229.96$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.28 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f5…795bbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 205.53$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.53 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…b8d2backed Team Spirit | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Team Spirit | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3297…43cdbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 187.2$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 184.86$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Team Spirit | 54c | 183.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.05 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb1…8ec8backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 182.89$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Team Spirit | 57c | 175.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.84 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Spirit | 67c | 153.32$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc0…5f47backed Team Spirit | 53c | 139.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Team Spirit | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 136.04$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 134$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 155 | 46.5%72 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Team Spirit | 42c | 119.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Team Spirit | 56c | 117.69$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…0863backed Team Spirit | 45c | 110.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Team Spirit | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 107.2$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…dd82backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…3499backed Team Spirit | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Team Spirit | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…539abacked Team Spirit | 55c | 98.38$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ba…c976backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed Team Spirit | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf03d…21fbbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 92.22$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.72 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0622…cbc0backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 82.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b9…2ea7backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 65.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3160…21d9backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b84…48e3backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 59.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked Team Spirit | 73c | 58.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed Team Spirit | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 54.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Spirit | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Team Spirit | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Team Spirit | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf883…b8b4backed Team Spirit | 60c | 44.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 187 | 64.7%121 W · 66 L | +17.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb759…ed73backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…09a8backed Team Spirit | 49c | 42.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…4d28backed Team Spirit | 53c | 42.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Team Spirit | 70c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe34e…c0f4backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Team Spirit | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd760…8e82backed Team Spirit | 53c | 39.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Team Spirit | 44c | 38.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…23d8backed Team Spirit | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 239 | 57.3%137 W · 102 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…7dcbbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 32.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 316 | 59.8%189 W · 127 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4287…3d5ebacked Team Spirit | 50c | 22.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.