Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8094da3c62da77f5b8484c058b27ef036e42e8c27f5aa0371bbd624e525dc93a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Team Spirit, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 13,391$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,690.25 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Spirit | 56c | 12,062$6,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,753.65 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Spirit | 57c | 9,907$5,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,646.99 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit | 57c | 8,201$4,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,667.32 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 6,290$3,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,153.07 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 5,427$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,794.32 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 4,235$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,432.39 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 3,479$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.81 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 3,216$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.23 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Spirit | 67c | 2,464$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 1,960$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.21 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,740$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.03 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 1,389$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.45 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,339$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.46 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Team Spirit | 70c | 1,127$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.51 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,123$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.78 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,014$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.52 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…886abacked Team Spirit | 27c | 1,010$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.93 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f5…795bbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 685.14$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.14 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Spirit | 57c | 537.74$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.49 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…e38ebacked Team Spirit | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit | 42c | 485.44$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.53 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Spirit | 42c | 479.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.62 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 473.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.35 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…2c41backed Team Spirit | 57c | 412.28$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Spirit | 50c | 399.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team Spirit | 40c | 396.5$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.73 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Team Spirit | 76c | 394.39$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Team Spirit | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a37…c99cbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 338.94$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.22 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 338.1$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.1 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…0af2backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 333$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.76 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9201…6078backed Team Spirit | 80c | 310.75$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 295$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.81 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee85…98e2backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 290.56$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Team Spirit | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x376f…5a0ebacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 257.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.51 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Team Spirit | 29c | 255.17$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 250$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 246.78$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.88 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Team Spirit | 65c | 195.57$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.12 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Spirit | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Team Spirit | 62c | 161.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc0…5f47backed Team Spirit | 7c | 159.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 154.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.43 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…0799backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 152.87$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.08 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Team Spirit | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 150$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Team Spirit | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 91.13$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…03cbbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Team Spirit | 58c | 87.09$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.81 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…2bc6backed Team Spirit | 58c | 82.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Team Spirit | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Team Spirit | 42c | 72.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Team Spirit | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed Team Spirit | 61c | 57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.32per pick | 56cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 55.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…dd82backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…47a4backed Team Spirit | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed Team Spirit | 66c | 52.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…ce91backed Team Spirit | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…b8d2backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…0863backed Team Spirit | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Spirit | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd988…fd9dbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 40.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 39.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 39.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 38.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6c…ce0ebacked Team Spirit | 52c | 38.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92e4…36e9backed Team Spirit | 42c | 35.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa846…fb4bbacked Team Spirit | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…7dcbbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 34.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 34.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Team Spirit | 62c | 32.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…355abacked Team Spirit | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe175…7d48backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…0e0bbacked Team Spirit | 39c | 28.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Spirit | 50c | 21.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Team Spirit | 64c | 20.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Team Spirit | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d69…1dc4backed Team Spirit | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a8…2d58backed Team Spirit | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.