Europa Conference League · resolved market
KKS Lech Poznań vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3806ab4a045c10a011c2c29e7d3b4cb57106bf91c0f23e4098f9a0df01761ba8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $707,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $708,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $707,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 521,309$265,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265,844.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 49c | 150,000$73,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,500 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Under | 49c | 148,361$72,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,663.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 145,491$72,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,745.61 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 20,702$10,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,546.11 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 16,931$8,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,564.98 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Under | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,650 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 12,928$6,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,462.94 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 49c | 8,860$4,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,518.83 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 4,426$2,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.83 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 50c | 4,345$2,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173.76 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 51c | 2,200$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…0095backed Over | 52c | 577.02$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3297…43cdbacked Over | 46c | 340.31$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 44c | 332.52$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.31 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 50c | 308.14$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.22 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 51c | 251.14$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.06 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 34c | 207.48$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.33 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 51c | 161.75$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 161.69$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.66 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Under | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Under | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee75…f59abacked Under | 51c | 115.94$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.39 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 57c | 108.95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 51c | 97.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6a…089bbacked Under | 54c | 90.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…ff86backed Under | 54c | 85.83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…5c32backed Under | 54c | 82.16$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef4a…0314backed Under | 54c | 81.74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +57%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 45c | 78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9867…bc76backed Under | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x546e…ec0cbacked Under | 52c | 67.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Under | 55c | 59.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a53dbacked Under | 50c | 58.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…c4fcbacked Under | 51c | 57.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…bf36backed Under | 50c | 56.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.39per pick | 46cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…b778backed Under | 57c | 52.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x871f…5885backed Over | 51c | 49.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 55c | 46.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…a31bbacked Under | 51c | 42.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +4.2wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Under | 51c | 42.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 39.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 50c | 38.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 46c | 37.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…b2f5backed Under | 51c | 31.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 56c | 23.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Under | 52c | 23.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc579…0b05backed Over | 51c | 23.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -8.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +64%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4326…c3a8backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 3.5this page
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. Kuopion PS: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 1.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 2.5Under won
- KKS Lech Poznań vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: KKS Lech Poznań (-1.5)Kuopion PS won
- Spread: Kuopion PS (-1.5)KKS Lech Poznań won
- Spread: Kuopion PS (-2.5)KKS Lech Poznań won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.