South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Platense: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77fa56f75e3552db2aeef4e1bc57a4218e2b21d271c9d5f14bded072a756d420
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 2,751$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.51 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 27c | 1,253$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.37 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 72c | 557.5$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 16c | 381.25$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445c…c4f1backed Under | 71c | 290$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.1 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Over | 28c | 244$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 80 | 21.3%17 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3297…43cdbacked Under | 71c | 219.82$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 77c | 215.25$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 28c | 168$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 28c | 131.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 30c | 127.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 29c | 125$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5955…f86ebacked Over | 29c | 114.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…3e44backed Over | 29c | 104.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…8c3ebacked Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 30c | 58.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 30c | 49.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 46c | 40.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d65…2d2bbacked Under | 55c | 33.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed Under | 79c | 21.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 79c | 17.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…c3e9backed Under | 67c | 16.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Platense: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Platense: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Platense: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Platense: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Newell's Old Boys (-2.5)CA Platense won
- Spread: CA Platense (-2.5)CA Newell's Old Boys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.