Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Tulane Green Wave vs. Memphis Tigers (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b1342656477a884b31fef97d85ae2401e931073c6554065ed7182fe2da7a8f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tulane Green Waveof Tulane Green Wave, Memphis Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce09…a251backed Tulane Green Wave | 59c | 260.45$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tulane Green Wave | 65c | 156.45$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…b75cbacked Tulane Green Wave | 47c | 102.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.89 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.3wins | +0.36per pick | 56cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…241dbacked Memphis Tigers | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…f692backed Tulane Green Wave | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf833…9e29backed Memphis Tigers | 41c | 97.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Memphis Tigers | 39c | 76.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe285…5754backed Memphis Tigers | 41c | 67.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…f103backed Memphis Tigers | 41c | 65.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8c…1977backed Memphis Tigers | 41c | 65.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3297…43cdbacked Memphis Tigers | 41c | 62.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1989…2370backed Memphis Tigers | 52c | 57.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Memphis Tigers | 42c | 54.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…ed48backed Tulane Green Wave | 59c | 49.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e0…3c1ebacked Tulane Green Wave | 59c | 48.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5449…5659backed Memphis Tigers | 55c | 45.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Memphis Tigers | 45c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.