NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Kings: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7b20ba905f990878281d417a9c084cd8299511977d99671683a358ee38b82b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,551 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ec0…7221backed Under | 56c | 3,905$2,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 45c | 3,638$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.12 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Over | 49c | 2,679$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 2,048$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.74 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 1,713$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.96 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa669…a7c2backed Under | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.63 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 52c | 1,326$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.56 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 1,008$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.99 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7595…50ffbacked Under | 50c | 829.52$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.52 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 51c | 798.49$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.26 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Over | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 637.5$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.72 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 45c | 554.24$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.38 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 79c | 455.7$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 50c | 385.91$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.25 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 38c | 348.7$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.5 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 46c | 330.93$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.23 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Over | 47c | 318.13$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.52 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 312.76$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.87 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Under | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 54c | 193.47$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.47 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 49c | 188.9$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.56 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 34c | 182.47$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 46c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…1e38backed Under | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 47c | 107$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8934…afb3backed Under | 64c | 104.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 51c | 97.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.35 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Under | 55c | 88.55$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 37c | 86.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 61c | 81.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 68.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Over | 34c | 67.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 51c | 62.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe62a…8abebacked Under | 54c | 62.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7715…ada4backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…4492backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Over | 45c | 52.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 50.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 48.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…ee4dbacked Over | 36c | 41.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 47c | 32.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 42c | 29.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 156 | 62.8%98 W · 58 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 51c | 28.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Over | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dab…dc59backed Under | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 54c | 24.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 41c | 24.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e69…6e36backed Under | 64c | 23.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 70cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…f266backed Over | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…b39ebacked Under | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Under | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 69c | 19.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Kings: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Kings (-0.5)Kings won
- Brice Sensabaugh: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Brice Sensabaugh: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- DeMar DeRozan: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jazz vs. KingsKings won
- Jazz vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Jazz vs. Kings: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Kings: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Under won
- Maxime Raynaud: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Nique Clifford: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Nique Clifford: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Precious Achiuwa: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Kings won
- Spread: Kings (-2.5)Kings won
- Spread: Kings (-3.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.