TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Kings: O/U 231.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$323,176

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $323,176 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed Under51c100,000$51,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,999.9643148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over48c58,000$27,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,839.911,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a57…2afabacked Under52c55,570$28,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,673.738944.9%40 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over48c46,500$22,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,38560351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under51c33,777$17,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,435.861,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Over49c29,777$14,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,590.9239842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under52c22,202$11,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,749.221,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under52c20,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,599.991,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c17,271$8,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,505.64,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe33f…eed7backed Over49c14,122$6,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,919.783943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c12,135$5,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,825.024,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over49c8,163$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.971,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over49c6,878$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,40038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c6,457$3,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,197.99,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Over49c6,355$3,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,113.9531643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under51c6,176$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,026.0424045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Over50c5,600$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80018349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Over48c5,250$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5208648.8%42 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Under51c5,000$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,440.056147.5%29 W · 32 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xace8…4624backed Over50c2,376$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1882133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Over49c2,293$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.5727455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under52c2,100$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.9980737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.9735749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over48c1,735$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.062,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over49c1,714$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.8448546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c1,417$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.223,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Over49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018043.3%78 W · 102 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49025155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over48c943.85$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.634,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Over50c929.99$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.5541947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Over49c920$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45116953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Over50c845.45$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.0348751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over48c836.75$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.5528537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under52c807.69$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.6967252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over49c802$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.9854443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over50c750$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37532450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under56c646.2$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.271,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe702…563fbacked Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003636.1%13 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under52c577$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.961,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over50c506.07$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.1671654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over53c471.68$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9954549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Over49c455.51$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.230453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe9c…dbaebacked Over49c446.94$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2191833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under47c405.96$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.1629352.6%154 W · 139 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under51c400.29$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.742,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Under51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.162568%17 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Under51c392$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.0813954%75 W · 64 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Under52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.629245.7%42 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over50c354.75$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.3889853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c353.27$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.462,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4630…1968backed Over49c341.65$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.4112650%63 W · 63 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x190f…01f3backed Over49c327$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.239150.5%46 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f5e…da72backed Under51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.121560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+40.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Over54c255.53$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.459654.2%52 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x79ac…9c87backed Over59c243.72$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.793145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over48c231.14$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.9580653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over49c205$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4578652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019054.7%104 W · 86 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025753.7%138 W · 119 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1028148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c189.36$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.782,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over50c185.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1726756.2%150 W · 117 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under51c181.03$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.711,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Over49c176.18$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3331354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Over44c167$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4815543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over12c162.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2220837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under56c158.07$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5518242.9%78 W · 104 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c150.23$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.823,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9466…1f15backed Under52c134.62$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6220847.1%98 W · 110 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under52c131.01$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.881,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over50c125$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.523657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over50c122.02$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8957650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Over70c121.59$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8527357.1%156 W · 117 L+0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over48c108.25$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9691846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b89…f3a9backed Over49c104.08$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a84…60fabacked Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506561.5%40 W · 25 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4822850.9%116 W · 112 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd07…8d16backed Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc332…118fbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502650%13 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Under51c97.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6520847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ba…882abacked Under61c95.35$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.575650%28 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over50c93.31$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.311,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x769c…fd65backed Over49c91.84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Over48c91.63$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1183158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed Over49c75.57$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0330654.6%167 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Over49c72.32$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1722552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Under50c64.2$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3314359.4%85 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3324…3b4cbacked Under48c63.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.973040%12 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41c0…9d61backed Over49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012155.4%67 W · 54 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x409b…21e8backed Over49c61.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9925855.8%144 W · 114 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dcc…45f6backed Under54c50.87$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.46553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under50c50.01$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7578648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c2…cf66backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255841.4%24 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under57c48.81$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.982,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…4492backed Under52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.081464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8213…48a3backed Over49c47.75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.323655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.