TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-04-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,485
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$115,903

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,485 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes60c49,155$29,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,662.1218352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No40c21,177$8,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,470.868643%37 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No40c19,830$7,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,932.181241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb22…6478backed Yes59c11,931$7,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,844.4429446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Yes60c7,500$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0002548%12 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No41c6,847$2,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,793.56355.6%35 W · 28 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No40c4,848$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,938.7651749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No46c3,984$1,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,841.12,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No39c2,545$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.323,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeba4…69fbbacked No39c2,400$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.99520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes66c2,133$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.957540%30 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Yes47c2,014$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.163560%21 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Yes60c1,838$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.355660.7%34 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No39c1,819$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.44425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed No40c1,726$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.221758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes61c1,602$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.597047.1%33 W · 37 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Yes60c1,313$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.213935.9%14 W · 25 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-27.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked No40c1,311$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.424652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaa4…3409backed Yes63c1,242$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.413141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked No15c1,100$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1653920.5%8 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No41c1,082$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.7750746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed No40c1,031$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.214637%17 W · 29 L-7.0wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-38.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked No40c999.46$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.783633.3%12 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes61c990.62$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.3417251.7%89 W · 83 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No38c968.79$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.071,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No40c964$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.623057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes61c957.39$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.3812541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No41c838.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.061,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No41c712$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.182,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7db…40f4backed Yes59c700$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes57c686.01$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.2410155.4%56 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37eb…6bf7backed No40c668.78$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.512642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No39c654.98$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.4413545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Yes57c623.58$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.5218543.2%80 W · 105 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No35c525.1$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.445,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19c3…8525backed No43c518.71$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No40c509.17$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.151,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No39c499.99$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19521349.8%106 W · 107 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No50c494.91$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.8512750.4%64 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes48c414.63$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.611118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-54.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51a3…9c26backed Yes48c403.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.91771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3f9…62bfbacked Yes57c323.93$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.291050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes76c314.6$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.791,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Yes63c311.61$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.08742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yes61c289.71$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.996654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed Yes61c277.77$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.333562.9%22 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No37c270.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9633745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed No40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010146.5%47 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes59c224$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.843259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No42c207.89$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.758,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9515326.1%40 W · 113 L+0.7wins0.00per pick26cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No17c196.86$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.453,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed No41c188.21$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.171450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8165…b93dbacked No41c188.21$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.17560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No40c187.76$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.16944.9%31 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No40c184.16$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3347756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No41c178.62$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.249454.3%51 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Yes60c166.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.641968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43ce…c264backed Yes63c165.47$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.227732.5%25 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes61c160.1$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4431745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed64…6103backed Yes61c160.1$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No42c157.46$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.11,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No38c154.71$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7526160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc62e…108dbacked No41c141.16$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.881258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No40c140.37$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1522853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No40c136.89$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7621345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x610b…b5b2backed Yes59c135.09$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.394339.5%17 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No14c132.94$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.85042%21 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes62c130.67$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6557157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No41c128.13$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.212,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked No40c120.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.22142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Yes51c114.19$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9518145.3%82 W · 99 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked No13c105$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.658740.2%35 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb61e…a10bbacked No48c103.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.852871.4%20 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+24.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes52c101.64$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.794452.3%23 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+37.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed No41c100.05$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5319356%108 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8c2…080bbacked No39c96.69$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.714052.5%21 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No42c96.52$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5451654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed No11c94.66$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4148922.9%112 W · 377 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e1…62e4backed Yes60c91.09$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Yes60c89.5$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+30.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No41c88.85$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.271,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d3…aafbbacked Yes49c87.65$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.913231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No40c84$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.841,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed No51c76.13$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8222145.7%101 W · 120 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No39c74.94$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2963657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No39c74.94$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2947758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Yes60c74.27$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.927133.8%24 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No40c72.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.929340.9%38 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Yes59c71.2$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.193043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe31d…e7a4backed No41c70.58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.94540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-42.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked No41c70.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8724253.3%129 W · 113 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0c0…2489backed No40c65.17$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.073345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7894…7b9dbacked Yes59c64.38$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.39520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-66.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No37c64.36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0638861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked No37c64.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.065660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed No38c63.55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0715457.1%88 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bee…590cbacked Yes63c60.53$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No41c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.626749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.