South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CD Cuenca end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x152b48feb9495ab77138e6e8460ed2c7ecf168901386a84a12aeb69db0cab27c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed No | 71c | 3,125$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.61 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 31c | 1,707$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.01 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 11c | 1,630$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.04 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 29c | 946$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.88 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 29c | 946$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.88 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 29c | 946$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.88 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 788.51$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.93 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 29c | 495.21$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.61 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 31c | 371.43$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.06 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 4c | 307.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…c163backed Yes | 33c | 196.95$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 8c | 174.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 30c | 142.24$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…55a6backed Yes | 29c | 100.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 29c | 90.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Yes | 26c | 88.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 30c | 79.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 72c | 75.28$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 27c | 70.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 68.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4c…a6a1backed Yes | 29c | 66.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 29c | 65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 71c | 62.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe06f…6743backed Yes | 42c | 46.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 62c | 32.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 76c | 31.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 71c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 73c | 24.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 59c | 23.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CD Cuenca end in a draw?this page
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-04-16?Yes won
- Will CD Cuenca win on 2026-04-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.